Odaily Planet Daily News The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the consumer price index (CPI) report for February at 20:30 tonight. Economists predict that after a significant pump in January, inflation in the US last month may still be at a high level, further proving that the Fed's progress in suppressing prices has stalled. Cooled inflation data may enhance traders' bets on the Fed's rate cuts, with the currency market currently expecting three 25 basis point rate cuts this year, compared to two rate cuts priced in a week ago, market expectations have become more dovish. (Jinshi)

Gold Finance reported that traders are increasing their bets on the Fed's rate cut, with a projected 53 poin dasar cut by the end of the year.

Pada 6 Januari, Goldman Sachs Group mengatakan bahwa mereka tidak mengharapkan harga emas mencapai $3.000 per ounce pada akhir tahun ini, dan menunda perkiraan ini hingga pertengahan 2026, karena pasar mengharapkan Federal Reserve untuk mengurangi jumlah penurunan suku bunga. Analis Goldman Sachs Lena Thomas dan Dan Struven, antara lain, memperkirakan emas akan mencapai $ 2.910 per ons pada akhir tahun. Dana ETF Likuiditas lebih lemah dari perkiraan pada bulan Desember, didorong oleh berkurangnya ketidakpastian setelah pemilihan AS, yang juga menyebabkan titik awal yang lebih rendah untuk penetapan harga di tahun baru. "Dua kekuatan yang berlawanan dari penurunan permintaan spekulatif dan peningkatan pembelian Bank Sentral secara efektif membatalkan satu sama lain, menjaga harga emas dalam kisaran Fluktuasi selama beberapa bulan terakhir," kata para analis. Pembelian Bank Sentral akan tetap menjadi pendorong utama harga emas jangka panjang. Ke depan, kami mengharapkan pembelian bulanan rata-rata 38t pada pertengahan 2026. ”

Odaily Planet Daily News The latest US inflation data has strengthened bets on the Fed cutting interest rates again, and BTC has once again broken through 100,000 US dollars. The prospect of loose monetary environment has eased investor sentiment, driving the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 stock index to a historic high. Manajemen UTXO, Henry Elder, mengatakan, "Pasar suka melihat tingkat inflasi sesuai harapan." Dia menambahkan bahwa para pedagang "sedang mencoba mencari tahu apakah $100.000 adalah batas atas atau batas bawah." Sejak kemenangan Trump dalam pemilihan umum AS pada 5 November, BTC telah naik sekitar 50%, ETF spot BTC AS menerima arus masuk bersih sekitar $11 miliar selama periode ini, sementara ETF spot Ethereum menarik $24

Odaily Planet Daily News prediction market Polymarket data shows that the current probability of predicting Trump to win the US presidential election has risen to 60.1%, while the probability of Harris winning the election has dropped to 40.1%, widening the gap to 20 percentage points. In addition, the amount of bets on the US election on the platform exceeds 3.329.370.572

Odaily Planet Daily News According to monitoring, the Dompet associated with the legendary trader GCR previously sold bets on "Trump winning the US election" on Polymarket. Subsequently, GCR himself confirmed that "the reason he sold the bet on Trump's victory on Polymarket was simply because he wanted to reposition to other lower-priced prediction markets (in short, Trump's victory on Polymarket

Data Gold September 30, analysts said that if, the Jackson Hole meeting basically determined that the Federal Reserve is ready to cut interest rates in September, then Friday's inflation data consolidates the scenario of a 25-point base point cut, not 50 points. The data performance is basically in line with expectations, the yield has hardly changed, and the market still bets on a smaller rate cut next month. Traders still expect a significant rate cut in November or December, but if prices continue to gradually cool down and there is no larger-than-expected decline, the market may reconsider this expectation.

Odaily Planet Daily News After the non-farm data was released, the DXY, the US dollar index, gapped down 40 points and is now reported at 103.67. Traders increased their bets on a significant rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the future. Traders are betting that the Fed will cut the interest rate by 50 basis points in September, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3% in July. (FXStreet)

Gold Finance reported that the Suku Bunga futures continue to price in bets on the Fed's rate cuts starting in September, with expectations that every meeting for the remainder of 2024 will see rate cuts.

Gold News reported that after Trump chose JD Vance as his running mate, the winning probability of the previous period on the Polygon prediction market rose to a new high of 72%. In addition, the total bet on the US presidential election contract on Polymarket reached $262 million, setting a record for the amount of bets on the prediction market based on Kripto (excluding all prediction markets).

Golden Finance reported that Senator JD Vance (Republican of Ohio), who is pushing for changes in cryptocurrency regulation, has a 29% chance of becoming the running mate of former President Donald Trump. This conclusion is based on the bets of traders on the prediction market platform Polymarket. It is reported that Trump is expected to announce his vice presidential pick next week.

Gold Finance reported that the total amount of bets on the on-chain prediction market Polymarket for the 'Winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election' has exceeded 233 million US dollars, with the probability of predicting Biden's election rising to 18%. Selain itu, probabilitas terpilihnya Trump adalah 63%, sementara probabilitas terpilihnya Wakil Presiden Kamala Harris merosot menjadi 12%.

Golden Finance reported that famous Canadian rapper Drake lost over 1 million US dollars in Bitcoin bets during the NBA Finals and Stanley Cup Finals. Drake initially bet 500,000 US dollars on the Dallas Mavericks to win the NBA Finals, losing the Bitcoin. Afterwards, he also bet on the NHL

Golden Finance reported that Andrew Kang, co-founder of institutional investment firm Mechanism Capital, pointed out that leverage should be used with extra caution in the Bitcoin bull market, as excessive comfort and concentrated bets may bring serious consequences. He also emphasized that the optional value of reserves is infinite. It is expected that Bitcoin will reach a new high in 2025, but the market may still experience a significant correction in the short term.