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#比特币现货交易量新低 BTC Intraday Short Plan
Aggressive Shorts
Shorting Range: 76,700 – 77,000
Stop Loss: 77,500
Take Profit: 76,000 / 75,500
Logic:
Currently near the upper edge of the consolidation structure, the price has bounced multiple times in this area but failed to continue upward → Reversal (short at the upper range), which is the most direct rebound short.
Conservative Shorts
Shorting Range: 77,600 – 78,100
Stop Loss: 78,800
Take Profit: 76,500 / 75,800
Logic:
If the aggressive short is taken out, it indicates the market is making a false breakout / sweeping liquidity. This range is close to the previous rebound high Bollinger upper band resistance, making it a better distribution zone (main short area).
Long-term Shorts (Extreme Inducement Zone)
Shorting Range: 78,800 – 79,500
Stop Loss: 80,600
Target: 76,000 / 74,500
Logic:
This area is near the previous high of 79,477, a structural resistance zone. If touched again, it’s likely a sentiment-driven rally + liquidity distribution zone.
Current Structure Judgment (Core)
Current 1-hour level:
Downtrend has ended ✔
Entered consolidation zone ✔
Upper resistance still clearly present ✔
This is not a trend short, but a short at the upper edge of the range.
Core Execution
Aggressive: Attempt shorting at the bid (light position)
Conservative: Main short zone (key)
Long-term: Raise average entry price (to handle extreme scenarios)
Sequence:
Attempt → Get stopped out → Re-enter → Re-enter again
⚠️ The most critical point today
Avoid chasing shorts near 75k because it’s close to the lower edge of the range, prone to rebound, and the risk-reward ratio for shorts is poor.
The above is just personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Investing involves risks; please bear the gains and losses yourself.
Wishing everyone a happy holiday, smooth trading, and many profits!