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Guys, look here 🔥🔥🔥 Hello everyone, first let me clarify the three main core situations currently impacting the market, and then we’ll talk about how to proceed this week!
First, let’s analyze the international situation, mainly divided into three points: 1. Middle East geopolitics: The Strait of Hormuz has become a ticking time bomb. Trump has called on the U.S. to guide trapped ships out of the strait. The U.S.-Iran confrontation has directly escalated. The Strait of Hormuz carries 35% of global maritime crude oil trade. If the situation gets out of control, oil prices and gold safe-haven assets will spike immediately. The market’s sensitivity to Middle East conflicts is at its peak; any news could trigger intense volatility. 2. Federal Reserve internal divisions: Policy expectations are chaotic. Powell’s reappointment as a board member breaks a 75-year tradition, forming a “dual leadership” with the incoming new chair, Waller. Hawks and doves are increasingly divided, and expectations for rate cuts fluctuate repeatedly. The market is completely unsure of the Fed’s rhythm; volatility in the dollar and U.S. Treasuries will continue to transmit to gold and non-U.S. currencies, with uncertainty at its maximum. 3. Japan currency intervention: The U.S.-Japan game heats up. Japan has spent $34.5 billion intervening in the forex market, fiercely defending the 160 yen line, but the effect was only temporary. The U.S.-Japan interest rate differential still exists; intervention can only temporarily ease depreciation pressure. Future yen fluctuations will trigger chain reactions in the forex market and indirectly influence gold’s movement.
Let’s also look at the core outlook for this week’s market:
- Gold: Short-term sideways, oscillating between 4590-4655, with clear support from news. Non-farm payrolls: sell high, buy low!
- Bitcoin: Today’s early market top at 80,200 (second buy at 2,378). If it breaks 80,500 (second buy at 2,385), 🉑 continue to look up to 82,000 (second buy at 2,400). If it doesn’t break, then fall back to 76,000-75,000!
- Crude Oil: Mainly guided by the Hormuz Strait situation. Not professional advice—just observe!
This week, market uncertainty is at its peak. Any news could trigger rollercoaster moves. Finally, Hello everyone, I advise all of you to strictly control your positions and go with the trend. Don’t try to eat the whole pie at once—stability first! $XAU $BTC $ETH $CL #WCTC交易王PK #美国寻求战略比特币储备 #比特币ETF期权持仓限额增4倍 #美联储利率不变但内部分歧加剧 #DeFi4月安全事件损失超6亿美元