ETH/BTC Breaks 5.5-Year Resistance: Is Altseason 2025 Already Here?

ETH/BTC breaks above Gaussian Channel for the first time since 2019, signaling a potential cycle shift.

Weekly chart structure mimics 2017 and 2021 alt season breakout setups.

TOTAL3 index forms a Cup and Handle, nearing $1.1T resistance—breakout could trigger wider rally.

Ethereum’s breakout against Bitcoin has triggered strong altcoin season signals. After 5.5 years, ETH/BTC moved above a major resistance zone, supported by bullish structure and market-wide momentum.

ETH/BTC Flips Resistance, Echoes Past Altseasons

On-chain analyst el_crypto_prof shared a weekly ETH/BTC chart showing Ethereum breaking out of the Gaussian Channel. This is the first breakout of its kind in over five years. Historically, such moves have been early markers of altcoin rallies.

Source: el crypto prof Via X

The current breakout follows a familiar pattern. ETH formed a cycle low, then a higher low, before reclaiming resistance—exactly what played out ahead of the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons.

In both earlier cycles, ETH/BTC exploded higher after clearing the red resistance zone. The 2025 setup is closely aligned. Ethereum has crossed that same threshold once again, and volume is picking up.

The chart shows price candles gaining momentum.Resistance has now turned into solid support as ETH/BTC pushes higher. The pair remains steady above 0.04100, maintaining a solid bullish setup on both the weekly and 4-hour timeframes.

ETH/BTC Surge Reinforces Bullish Momentum

ETH/BTC traded between 0.03000 and 0.03300 in late July before a dip to 0.02950. That drop was short-lived. By August 3, bulls pushed back, and a strong rally began.

From August 5 to 11, Ethereum gained steadily. A clear breakout above 0.03700 followed. Despite minor consolidation around 0.04100, ETH held its ground. The pair briefly corrected to 0.03600 but bounced quickly.

On August 24, ETH/BTC jumped past 0.04300—marking a new high for the move. Though some profit-taking followed, price remains above support. The 4-hour chart reflects ongoing strength, with volume confirming sustained interest.

TOTAL3 Cup and Handle Pattern Adds Fuel to Altcoin Fire

The TOTAL3 index—tracking altcoins excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum—adds another layer to the bullish case. A Cup and Handle formation, shared by Bitcoinensus, shows a textbook setup nearing completion.

Source: Bitconsesus Via X

The cup spans from early 2022 to mid-2025, reflecting long-term accumulation. The handle, formed in recent months, has tightened below the $1.1 trillion mark. A breakout above this level could open doors to a target zone near $1.7–$1.9 trillion.

This aligns with historical altcoin market behavior. When Ethereum leads against Bitcoin and TOTAL3 confirms strength, broad altcoin rallies tend to follow.

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