The probability that Bitcoin will fall below $100,000 by the end of the year on Polymarket has reached 61%. This summary is generated by AI. Although some analysts predict that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 before 2026, most market bettors believe that its price may fall below $100,000 by the end of the year. Analysis shows that new demand is needed to absorb supply after large investors dump, otherwise the likelihood of price decline increases. Experts point out that this sell-off reflects the maturation of the market and may lead to a healthier market structure. According to ChainCatcher, despite some analysts believing that Bitcoin's price will reach $200,000 before 2026, most Polymarket bettors are betting that by the end of this year, Bitcoin's price will fall below $100,000. As of Wednesday, traders betting on whether Bitcoin will fall below $100,000 this year estimate the probability of it dropping below $100,000 is 61%. This figure is slightly lower than Monday's prediction when 72% of bettors predicted that Bitcoin's trading price would fall below $100,000 again this year. Presto Research analyst Min Jung stated, "So far, the massive sell-off by whales and long-term holders has been met with sufficient buying demand—especially from corporate bonds and institutional allocators. However, if these large investors start to close their positions more aggressively, the key question is whether there are enough new entrants to absorb this supply. If demand fails to keep pace, the likelihood of falling below $100,000 becomes greater." 21Shares crypto investment expert David Hernandez stated, "The sell-off of Bitcoin is a sign of the market maturing. Ironically, while a significant pullback may dampen short-term enthusiasm, it could also catalyze a healthier market by reallocating supply from concentrated whales and corporations to a broader base of retail investors and institutions, ultimately strengthening Bitcoin's long-term foundation."