Live at 8:30 today | Analysis of global risk events in September: Fed interest rate cuts, Trump polls, and trading opportunities behind the military parade.
Market conditions are changing rapidly, and traders need to gain insights ahead of time. As the key monthly and weekly closing approaches this month, several significant risk events are converging, which will trigger volatility in the global financial markets.
Hello, fellow traders! As your lead trader on the exchange, I am well aware that September's market is filled with challenges and opportunities. The monthly closing this month is exceptionally critical, with multiple significant events set to shape market trends.
The Fed's policy shift, fluctuations in Trump's polls, and events such as China's grand military parade will all become important catalysts for the market. Today at 8:30, I will provide an in-depth analysis of the trading opportunities and risks behind these events. 01 Fed's expectation for rate cuts in September is rising. According to the latest market data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September has surged to over 80%. This will be the primary factor affecting global asset prices.
Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting clearly signaled a rate cut. He stated: "Given that policy is in a restrictive range, the baseline outlook and shifting risk balance may require us to adjust our policy stance."
This means that the Fed has recognized that interest rates are too high and the economy is facing downside risks. Powell specifically mentioned that the labor market is weakening and the risks to employment are increasing.
For the cryptocurrency market, a Fed interest rate cut typically means improved liquidity, which could drive up the prices of risk assets. However, the market often "buys the expectation and sells the fact," so caution is needed regarding short-term fluctuations after the rate cut is implemented.
02 Trump's Poll Fluctuations and Policy Impact
The latest polls show that Trump's support rate is currently at 47%, but some polls indicate that his support rate has dropped to 40%, setting a new low for his second term.
This fluctuation in support rates is directly related to his policies. More than half of the voters support his actions to promote law enforcement in Washington, D.C., but on the other hand, 64% of voters believe that his new tariff policy has harmed consumer interests.
Trump's tariff policy, especially the tariff threats against Chinese goods (even as high as 200%), has raised market concerns about global trade tensions. This poses both challenges and opportunities for the cryptocurrency market.
Trade uncertainty may drive funds toward decentralized assets like Bitcoin, but it may also suppress overall risk appetite.
03 China's Grand Military Parade and Market Sentiment
The upcoming military parade in China is expected to last about 70 minutes, with 45 formations (squadrons) being arranged. This is an important part of the commemoration activities for the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese people's War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War.
Such events usually have a positive impact on market sentiment and may boost the risk appetite in Asian markets. Historical experience shows that during significant national events, the market tends to remain relatively stable or even perform positively.
For the cryptocurrency market, this could mean increased activity during the Asian trading hours and an influx of capital.
04 Technical Analysis of Bitcoin
Bitcoin is currently at a critical position. According to analysis, BTC has plunged as expected, and it may drop to around $100,000 in September.
The market framework has changed, with the weekly indicators showing a downward divergence, consistent with a trend reversal. After a false breakout at the previous high, the volume has surged and engulfed the decline, indicating a severe lack of demand.
The key support level is around $101,300, while the resistance level is around $110,000. Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a downward continuation structure, with insufficient market demand, and rebounds are often caused by short sellers taking profits.
It is recommended to focus on short positions during rebounds in trading. Before the daily chart establishes a low-level accumulation structure, it's important to remain cautious with spot trading.
05 Other altcoin opportunities
In addition to Bitcoin, some small-cap altcoins may also present opportunities. For example, Remittix ( RTX ) is referred to as "XRP 2.0" and is believed to have the potential to surpass Ripple and Stripe.
It is built on the Ethereum ecosystem, integrating real-world payment functionalities with a DeFi-driven ecosystem, supporting over 40 cryptocurrencies. Of course, smaller coins have greater volatility and require strict risk control.
In today's live broadcast, I will provide everyone with more detailed technical analysis charts and trading strategies, including:
(1) Precise entry and exit points for Bitcoin and major altcoins; (2) How to set stop-loss and take-profit to control risk; (3) Position management techniques before and after the Fed's decision; (4) How to earn excess returns by leveraging global event volatility.
Live broadcast time: Starts at 8:30 today. Whether you are a short-term trader or a medium to long-term investor, this live broadcast will provide you with valuable market insights and trading strategies. Let’s tackle the market fluctuations of September together and seize trading opportunities in the volatility!
Welcome to arrive on time, looking forward to communicating with everyone! Remember to click the reservation button to receive a reminder when the broadcast starts.
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Live at 8:30 today | Analysis of global risk events in September: Fed interest rate cuts, Trump polls, and trading opportunities behind the military parade.
Market conditions are changing rapidly, and traders need to gain insights ahead of time. As the key monthly and weekly closing approaches this month, several significant risk events are converging, which will trigger volatility in the global financial markets.
Hello, fellow traders! As your lead trader on the exchange, I am well aware that September's market is filled with challenges and opportunities. The monthly closing this month is exceptionally critical, with multiple significant events set to shape market trends.
The Fed's policy shift, fluctuations in Trump's polls, and events such as China's grand military parade will all become important catalysts for the market. Today at 8:30, I will provide an in-depth analysis of the trading opportunities and risks behind these events.
01 Fed's expectation for rate cuts in September is rising.
According to the latest market data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September has surged to over 80%. This will be the primary factor affecting global asset prices.
Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting clearly signaled a rate cut. He stated: "Given that policy is in a restrictive range, the baseline outlook and shifting risk balance may require us to adjust our policy stance."
This means that the Fed has recognized that interest rates are too high and the economy is facing downside risks. Powell specifically mentioned that the labor market is weakening and the risks to employment are increasing.
For the cryptocurrency market, a Fed interest rate cut typically means improved liquidity, which could drive up the prices of risk assets. However, the market often "buys the expectation and sells the fact," so caution is needed regarding short-term fluctuations after the rate cut is implemented.
02 Trump's Poll Fluctuations and Policy Impact
The latest polls show that Trump's support rate is currently at 47%, but some polls indicate that his support rate has dropped to 40%, setting a new low for his second term.
This fluctuation in support rates is directly related to his policies. More than half of the voters support his actions to promote law enforcement in Washington, D.C., but on the other hand, 64% of voters believe that his new tariff policy has harmed consumer interests.
Trump's tariff policy, especially the tariff threats against Chinese goods (even as high as 200%), has raised market concerns about global trade tensions. This poses both challenges and opportunities for the cryptocurrency market.
Trade uncertainty may drive funds toward decentralized assets like Bitcoin, but it may also suppress overall risk appetite.
03 China's Grand Military Parade and Market Sentiment
The upcoming military parade in China is expected to last about 70 minutes, with 45 formations (squadrons) being arranged. This is an important part of the commemoration activities for the 80th anniversary of the victory of the Chinese people's War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War.
Such events usually have a positive impact on market sentiment and may boost the risk appetite in Asian markets. Historical experience shows that during significant national events, the market tends to remain relatively stable or even perform positively.
For the cryptocurrency market, this could mean increased activity during the Asian trading hours and an influx of capital.
04 Technical Analysis of Bitcoin
Bitcoin is currently at a critical position. According to analysis, BTC has plunged as expected, and it may drop to around $100,000 in September.
The market framework has changed, with the weekly indicators showing a downward divergence, consistent with a trend reversal. After a false breakout at the previous high, the volume has surged and engulfed the decline, indicating a severe lack of demand.
The key support level is around $101,300, while the resistance level is around $110,000. Bitcoin is currently exhibiting a downward continuation structure, with insufficient market demand, and rebounds are often caused by short sellers taking profits.
It is recommended to focus on short positions during rebounds in trading. Before the daily chart establishes a low-level accumulation structure, it's important to remain cautious with spot trading.
05 Other altcoin opportunities
In addition to Bitcoin, some small-cap altcoins may also present opportunities. For example, Remittix ( RTX ) is referred to as "XRP 2.0" and is believed to have the potential to surpass Ripple and Stripe.
It is built on the Ethereum ecosystem, integrating real-world payment functionalities with a DeFi-driven ecosystem, supporting over 40 cryptocurrencies. Of course, smaller coins have greater volatility and require strict risk control.
In today's live broadcast, I will provide everyone with more detailed technical analysis charts and trading strategies, including:
(1) Precise entry and exit points for Bitcoin and major altcoins;
(2) How to set stop-loss and take-profit to control risk;
(3) Position management techniques before and after the Fed's decision;
(4) How to earn excess returns by leveraging global event volatility.
Live broadcast time: Starts at 8:30 today. Whether you are a short-term trader or a medium to long-term investor, this live broadcast will provide you with valuable market insights and trading strategies. Let’s tackle the market fluctuations of September together and seize trading opportunities in the volatility!
Welcome to arrive on time, looking forward to communicating with everyone! Remember to click the reservation button to receive a reminder when the broadcast starts.