🚗 #GateSquareCommunityChallenge# Round 1 — Who Will Be The First To The Moon?
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#加密货币市场波动# After reading this report, I feel that there are indeed some issues with the correlation between the cryptocurrency market and related stocks. Although in August, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other mainstream tokens showed mixed performance, related stocks generally fell, especially MicroStrategy, which dropped more than 16%. This divergence is mainly due to several factors: first, the contraction of stock valuation premiums; second, concerns about the company's financing plans; third, operational performance falling short of expectations.
According to the data, Coinbase's trading revenue in the second quarter fell nearly 40% quarter-over-quarter, indicating that even with the rise in coin prices, the exchange's business has not been able to benefit correspondingly. This reflects that the overall crypto industry has entered a new stage, where simply relying on holding or trading coins is no longer sufficient to sustain high valuations.
In the future, three key indicators need to be monitored: mNAV premium/discount, adjustment of financing rhythm, and improvement of operating indicators. If these areas can show positive changes, the linkage between coins and stocks may be repaired. Otherwise, the decoupling trend may continue, exacerbating market differentiation. Overall, this is a critical period for the industry model facing re-evaluation, and it is worth closely monitoring the subsequent developments.