Crypto Assets Market Outlook: Macroeconomic Trends and Investment Opportunities
This weekend I have more time to think, and I would like to share some views on the market.
The overall trend of the Crypto Assets market may not become clear until after September. Considering macroeconomic resistance, summer liquidity constraints, and quarterly position adjustments, the true market direction will only manifest when participants return after the August holiday. Recently, the rise of most small coins was mainly driven by short squeezes. Traders were influenced by the previous rebound to chase the rally, but there is a lack of long-term holders. As anticipated, most tokens that surged significantly subsequently experienced a corresponding decline.
Ethereum unexpectedly rebounded, with AI and certain coin sectors leading the bounce. Tokens with practical uses, strong fundamentals, or buyback mechanisms showed resilience, recovering faster with smaller declines, such as Syrup, Hype, and AAVE. Although SPX is a coin, its structure is completely different. From this, a few insights can be summarized:
1. The demand for Bitcoin is real and persistent
Traditional capital is gradually entering through regulated channels such as ETFs. The nature of the capital supporting BTC is different from previous periods, making large-scale BTC liquidation unlikely to occur unless triggered by macro events.
2. The differentiation of small coins is intensifying
Funds will eventually flow back into small coins, but will not flow in comprehensively. Only tokens with clear purposes and actual applications are likely to attract funds. This is why Ethereum may outperform certain public chains. Regulatory clarity, the growth of DeFi usage, deflationary structures, and staking demand create a strong flywheel effect. Moreover, since ETH has not met expectations for a long time, there are still potential buyers waiting in the over-the-counter market.
3. Venture capital-backed tokens have structural risks
Token unlocking will continue to suppress prices. When liquidity is insufficient, the ongoing selling pressure from validators and early investors limits the upside potential. This creates a bleak outlook for overvalued tokens listed on centralized exchanges. Tokens in certain ecosystems, in particular, face selling pressure due to their validator reward structure leading to this situation.
4. Some coins have structural advantages
No venture capital unlock, fair distribution, and a coin fully based on attention have structural advantages. This is a purely speculative mechanism that works like in the early cycles.
But this phase seems to be coming to an end. Certain token generation events and the launch of popular coins mark the peak of interest in coin types. After this, interest begins to wane. Even in the rebound in April, the performance of certain public chains was not as good as ETH. If everyone already holds, who will be the marginal buyer when the momentum fades?
Some coins may still perform well, especially those influenced by prominent figures outside the crypto space like TikTok or Instagram (. These may still bring asymmetric wealth effects. However, the era of "Pet Coins" as alpha has ended. Only coins with strong narratives and market recognition hold true speculative value.
Ironically, the fatigue surrounding venture-backed tokens has opened up opportunities for fairly issued Web2/3 projects, which may become the source of the next wave of wealth creation. Certain projects are good examples of this. However, seizing these opportunities requires being active on-chain. When there is information asymmetry, big opportunities always arise. Once they are well-known, there are no longer returns.
This is why I pay more attention to the on-chain market. The success of a certain project has sparked the desire to look for the "next opportunity", and capital begins to chase similar narratives of fair issuance. Just as some people earn huge wealth by trading coins, attention guides capital flow.
5. Future Market Trends
If popular coins are no longer the opportunity, then what comes next?
My view: The combination of AI and Crypto Assets.
If you pay attention to my updates, you will find that most of my operations in this round ) are focused on coins and AI after certain public chains and venture capital supported tokens early on (.
Just like the DeFi summer, most early AI projects fail after the hype. But the truly practical projects are quietly building in the bear market. We have seen some projects emerge on the chain.
As the profits from coins dwindle, attention naturally shifts to new narratives. AI, with its clear practicality, is well-suited to become the next focal point.
Many AI x Crypto projects adopt fair distribution, echoing the narratives of certain successful cases.
This is why I have been researching and positioning myself in this field recently. There is no need to rush to establish a full position now, but I believe that if the market experiences a strong rise again, this field will hold the greatest asymmetric opportunities.
![The rapid development concept of technology that makes artificial intelligence a reality — stock photo])(
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SorryRugPulled
· 13h ago
Hitting the bottom means getting rich.
View OriginalReply0
Ser_APY_2000
· 09-04 15:18
Bear Market sees true gold
View OriginalReply0
SchroedingerAirdrop
· 09-03 13:38
BTC is forever the god.
View OriginalReply0
WhaleWatcher
· 09-03 02:50
Prepare to lie in ambush for the Bear Market in advance.
Crypto Market Outlook: Bitcoin's Resilience Strong, AI May Become the Next Hot Spot
Crypto Assets Market Outlook: Macroeconomic Trends and Investment Opportunities
This weekend I have more time to think, and I would like to share some views on the market.
The overall trend of the Crypto Assets market may not become clear until after September. Considering macroeconomic resistance, summer liquidity constraints, and quarterly position adjustments, the true market direction will only manifest when participants return after the August holiday. Recently, the rise of most small coins was mainly driven by short squeezes. Traders were influenced by the previous rebound to chase the rally, but there is a lack of long-term holders. As anticipated, most tokens that surged significantly subsequently experienced a corresponding decline.
Ethereum unexpectedly rebounded, with AI and certain coin sectors leading the bounce. Tokens with practical uses, strong fundamentals, or buyback mechanisms showed resilience, recovering faster with smaller declines, such as Syrup, Hype, and AAVE. Although SPX is a coin, its structure is completely different. From this, a few insights can be summarized:
1. The demand for Bitcoin is real and persistent
Traditional capital is gradually entering through regulated channels such as ETFs. The nature of the capital supporting BTC is different from previous periods, making large-scale BTC liquidation unlikely to occur unless triggered by macro events.
2. The differentiation of small coins is intensifying
Funds will eventually flow back into small coins, but will not flow in comprehensively. Only tokens with clear purposes and actual applications are likely to attract funds. This is why Ethereum may outperform certain public chains. Regulatory clarity, the growth of DeFi usage, deflationary structures, and staking demand create a strong flywheel effect. Moreover, since ETH has not met expectations for a long time, there are still potential buyers waiting in the over-the-counter market.
3. Venture capital-backed tokens have structural risks
Token unlocking will continue to suppress prices. When liquidity is insufficient, the ongoing selling pressure from validators and early investors limits the upside potential. This creates a bleak outlook for overvalued tokens listed on centralized exchanges. Tokens in certain ecosystems, in particular, face selling pressure due to their validator reward structure leading to this situation.
4. Some coins have structural advantages
No venture capital unlock, fair distribution, and a coin fully based on attention have structural advantages. This is a purely speculative mechanism that works like in the early cycles.
But this phase seems to be coming to an end. Certain token generation events and the launch of popular coins mark the peak of interest in coin types. After this, interest begins to wane. Even in the rebound in April, the performance of certain public chains was not as good as ETH. If everyone already holds, who will be the marginal buyer when the momentum fades?
Some coins may still perform well, especially those influenced by prominent figures outside the crypto space like TikTok or Instagram (. These may still bring asymmetric wealth effects. However, the era of "Pet Coins" as alpha has ended. Only coins with strong narratives and market recognition hold true speculative value.
Ironically, the fatigue surrounding venture-backed tokens has opened up opportunities for fairly issued Web2/3 projects, which may become the source of the next wave of wealth creation. Certain projects are good examples of this. However, seizing these opportunities requires being active on-chain. When there is information asymmetry, big opportunities always arise. Once they are well-known, there are no longer returns.
This is why I pay more attention to the on-chain market. The success of a certain project has sparked the desire to look for the "next opportunity", and capital begins to chase similar narratives of fair issuance. Just as some people earn huge wealth by trading coins, attention guides capital flow.
5. Future Market Trends
If popular coins are no longer the opportunity, then what comes next?
My view: The combination of AI and Crypto Assets.
If you pay attention to my updates, you will find that most of my operations in this round ) are focused on coins and AI after certain public chains and venture capital supported tokens early on (.
Just like the DeFi summer, most early AI projects fail after the hype. But the truly practical projects are quietly building in the bear market. We have seen some projects emerge on the chain.
As the profits from coins dwindle, attention naturally shifts to new narratives. AI, with its clear practicality, is well-suited to become the next focal point.
Many AI x Crypto projects adopt fair distribution, echoing the narratives of certain successful cases.
This is why I have been researching and positioning myself in this field recently. There is no need to rush to establish a full position now, but I believe that if the market experiences a strong rise again, this field will hold the greatest asymmetric opportunities.
![The rapid development concept of technology that makes artificial intelligence a reality — stock photo])(