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#美联储货币政策展望# Analyzing the impact of the Fed's September interest rate cut on Bitcoin's price trend requires consideration of multiple factors. Historically, BTC tends to rise before a rate cut and then fall after, but this is not a fixed pattern. The current market conditions are different from past cycles, with ETF inflows slowing and corporate buying weakening, making the rate cut a conditional trigger. If BTC rises significantly before the meeting, it may replay the "rise then fall" scenario. However, if prices remain stable, a rate cut could actually stabilize the market. Overall, a wave of rise is expected before the FOMC meeting, but it is difficult to break new highs. Even if a rebound occurs, caution is needed, as the next high point may be in the $110,000-$120,000 range. In the latter half of Q4, liquidity is expected to stabilize, and demand may rebound, potentially pushing BTC toward new highs.