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The U.S. non-farm payroll data, to be released tonight at 10 PM, is undoubtedly the focus of the market. Analysts generally predict that the number of new jobs added in August will be around 180,000, with the unemployment rate remaining at about 4.3%. However, given the recent weakness in employment data, along with downward revisions to the data for June and July, if tonight's figures are significantly below expectations, it may trigger market unease.
The impact of this report on the cryptocurrency market may be reflected from multiple perspectives:
1. If the data exceeds expectations: Investors may worry that the Federal Reserve will continue to tighten monetary policy, which could put pressure on digital asset prices in the short term.
2. If the data falls short of expectations: While it may enhance expectations for interest rate cuts, considering that long-term interest rates remain high, it may limit the upward potential of cryptocurrency prices.
3. If the data generally meets expectations: there may be slight fluctuations in the short term, and the subsequent trend will depend on capital flows and overall market sentiment.
It is worth noting that the cryptocurrency market's reaction to macroeconomic data is often more complex than that of traditional financial markets. Investors need to closely monitor the market reaction following the release of non-farm payroll data, while also considering other influencing factors such as regulatory dynamics and technological developments.
Regardless of the outcome, this employment report will provide us with important indicators of economic health, which in turn will affect investors' allocation decisions for various assets, including cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.