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The current focus of investors is undoubtedly the direction of the market after interest rate cuts. Although no one can predict market trends with 100% certainty, we can clarify potential development paths through analysis.
If the central bank lowers interest rates by 25 basis points, it is likely that some investors will choose to take profits in the short term, which may lead to certain selling pressure in the market and subsequently trigger a correction. However, for investors with idle funds, this may instead represent a good opportunity to buy at a low price. After all, the expectations for interest rate cuts for the entire year have already been quite sufficient, and in the long run, the market is still expected to maintain an upward trend.
In contrast, if the central bank directly cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, the market may experience a rapid rise. However, how long such a strong rise can last is uncertain. Once market enthusiasm wanes, investors may have to face the potential risks of an economic recession, which would undoubtedly become a weapon for bears to hit market confidence. Even without the expectation of a recession, the next rate cut may only be by 25 basis points, and this 'feast followed by famine' situation may bring certain shocks to market sentiment.
In the face of such a complex market environment, investors should remain rational and calm. Blindly following trends is not advisable; the key is to manage risks well while maintaining sensitivity to the market. The market is always full of uncertainties, but as long as we can analyze calmly and layout rationally, it is possible to seize opportunities in this wave of market movement.