2026-01-17 16:22:18

Changes in the US political landscape often impact global capital markets. According to historical data, the S&P 500 may face an adjustment of up to 18% within a specific cycle, a pattern that has held true since 1950. The lows often become buying opportunities.

Bitcoin's performance also exhibits clear seasonal characteristics. The first quarter through March is usually a sprint towards new highs, but momentum noticeably weakens after entering the second quarter, and the market enters a correction phase. However, in the third quarter, altcoins start to become active, which is a relatively certain breakout window each year. From August to October, volatility is the most intense, and those looking to buy the dip can carefully strategize during this period.

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MiningDisasterSurvivor

· 1h ago

Using this set again? Seasonal patterns, historical data... I've experienced it all. In 2018, I was so confident, but what happened? Do you forget how Bitcoin, which hit a new high in the first quarter, later plummeted? Altcoins exploding in the third quarter? Ha, that's how project teams bake their big pies. The last time retail investors believed in certainty windows, they're still trying to recover from the losses.

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Tokenomics911

· 20h ago

Is this old saying again? Can the seasonal pattern really be used this time… Why didn’t we see altcoins explode in Q3 last year? It’s dropped so many times, and I’m tired of hearing the term "buying opportunity." The key question is, when will the real bottom come? From August to October, the volatility was indeed high, but carefully planning? Most people are still just guessing randomly. We’ve seen the 18% correction of the S&P 500 several times, and historical patterns… often become useless at critical moments. Speaking of which, if Bitcoin’s seasonality is so stable, why are some people still getting caught in buy-the-dip traps?

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token_therapist

· 01-18 03:48

That group of people who start screaming after a drop of 18% really don't understand what low buying is. I believe in the third quarter altcoin explosion, but will August definitely see intense volatility? It depends on the Federal Reserve's mood.

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tokenomics_truther

· 01-17 22:44

The opportunity to buy the dip has arrived, but you need real money and a steady mindset to hold on—that's the real challenge.

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ZKProofster

· 01-17 16:52

honestly the "seasonality" framing here is kinda lazy... like yeah patterns exist but treating them as mathematical guarantees? nah. that's not how market mechanics work. trustless systems don't follow calendars, they follow incentives.

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AirDropMissed

· 01-17 16:51

Here comes the seasonal pattern again. To put it nicely, it's just gamblers' self-comfort... But it's true that the biggest fluctuations occur from August to October, and I have to admit that last year I got caught by it.

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ProposalDetective

· 01-17 16:51

The idea of seasonality sounds quite nice, but the reality is often disrupted by a black swan with a sudden blow...

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CryptoSourGrape

· 01-17 16:49

Talking about patterns again. If I had known this pattern earlier, I wouldn't have been trapped until now in the second quarter...

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shadowy_supercoder

· 01-17 16:27

Another seasonal pattern? I just want to ask, will this time be an exception again?

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LiquidationOracle

· 01-17 16:26

It's the same old story again. I've heard the seasonal patterns a hundred times. When it really comes down to the critical moment, how many can get it exactly right?

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