Nio Q4 Earnings on Deck: Options Market Braces for a 10.25% Swing

Chinese EV manufacturer Nio Inc. NIO +1.27% ▲  is scheduled to announce its results for the fourth quarter of 2025 on Tuesday, March 10, and the options market is expecting a volatile reaction. Based on options pricing, traders are expecting a 10.25% move in either direction in Nio stock following its Q4 2025 earnings. This implied move is higher than the stock’s average post-earnings move (in absolute terms) of 3.06% over the past four quarters.

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What to Watch in Nio’s Earnings

For Nio, investors will first focus on vehicle deliveries and sales growth. The company reported record deliveries of 124,807 vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, showing solid demand for its electric vehicles. Markets will want to see if this strength continues and how it supports revenue growth.

Another key area is profit and costs. Nio recently said it expects to post its first adjusted operating profit of RMB700 million to RMB1.2 billion ($100 million to $172 million) for Q4, helped by higher deliveries, better vehicle margins, and lower costs. Investors will look for updates on whether the company is moving closer to steady profits.

Next, attention will turn to Nio’s new models and product strategy. Nio has expanded its lineup and launched the Onvo sub-brand to reach more buyers, while also pushing premium SUVs such as the ES8. Investors will watch how these models are selling and whether they help lift deliveries and margins.

Finally, investors will watch competition and global expansion plans. China’s EV market remains highly competitive, with aggressive pricing and many new models entering the market. As a result, investors will listen for management’s outlook on demand, pricing pressure, and expansion into overseas markets.

**Analysts’ Expectations for Nio’s Q4 Results **

Wall Street expects Nio to report earnings per share of less than $0.01, versus a loss of $0.44 in the year-ago quarter. At the same time, revenue is projected to rise 77% to $4.84 billion, mainly driven by higher vehicle deliveries and strong demand for the company’s newer models.

Is Nio a Buy, Sell, or Hold Now?

Overall, Wall Street has a Moderate Buy consensus rating on NIO stock based on four Buys and three Holds assigned in the last three months. The average NIO stock price target of $6.65 implies 39.12% upside potential from current levels.

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