Guoxin Futures: Polyolefins May Follow Raw Material Strength, Focus on Demand Recovery Progress

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Plastic 2605 up 5.99%, trading volume increased by 481,000 lots, open interest decreased by 61,000 lots. Spot prices surged significantly, with downstream buyers mostly on the sidelines, focusing on negotiations. Zhuochuang data shows North China quotes at 6,600-7,050 RMB/ton, East China at 6,700-7,100 RMB/ton, South China at 7,000-7,250 RMB/ton. PP 2605 up 6.00%, trading volume increased by 481,000 lots, open interest increased by 8,000 lots. Spot prices surged significantly, downstream factories are cautious, and trading is limited. Zhuochuang data shows North China filament at 6,600-6,750 RMB/ton, East China at 6,650-6,780 RMB/ton, South China at 6,800-7,000 RMB/ton. Downstream demand is gradually recovering, petrochemical supply remains high, and fundamentals are expected to improve, but post-holiday market liquidation is dominant. Middle East geopolitical tensions escalate, crude oil prices rise sharply, cost support strengthens, and polyolefins may follow raw material prices higher, with attention to demand recovery progress. It is recommended to buy on dips. (Guoxin Futures)

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