US-Iran tensions are rattling global markets, with oil prices surging over 10% to around $84 a barrel as the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transit route, faces disruption. This conflict could impact up to 20% of global oil supplies, pushing prices potentially to $100 per barrel and adding 0.8% to global inflation. ¹ ² ³

*Key Market Impacts:*

- _Energy Markets_: European gas prices have jumped 50%, and Brent crude is up 15% since the conflict began.
- _Stock Markets_: Global equities declined, with the Dow Jones falling over 400 points and Asian indexes dropping 1-2%.
- _Currency Markets_: The US dollar is strengthening, while emerging markets face currency pressures.
- _Inflation_: Potential 0.6-0.7 percentage point increase in global inflation if disruptions persist. ⁴ ⁵ ⁶

*Regional Vulnerabilities:*

- Asia, reliant on Middle Eastern oil, faces heightened costs and potential shortages.
- Europe's energy security is threatened, with possible recession risks.
- India's oil imports and overall economy are at risk. ⁷

The situation remains volatile, with outcomes dependent on conflict duration and global policy responses.

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