I can't do it, but you can! If the tiger doesn't show its power, do you think I'm a sick cat? Bitcoin has recovered, with an average price around 682. What does "light Cang Zuo" mean? ? Not Sure, you can look it up in the dictionary #贵金原油价格飙升 A senior sister was yelled at today. She was leading trades, but of course, not everything can be successful.

#深度创作营 Bitcoin's bottom in 2026 has been calculated: this is not a guess, but a calculation. Based on the previous four cycle bear market analysis framework, combined with the latest mining machine costs in 2026 and historical patterns, the core range for Bitcoin's bear market bottom in 2026 is estimated to be $52,000–$62,000, with an extreme case potentially dropping to $48,000–$50,000(Extreme panic + hash rate cleanup). 1. Core cost anchoring (Latest data as of March 2026) - Mainstream mining machines: Ant S21 series (Industry mainstay) - Shutdown price ($0.08/kWh): $69,000–$74,000 - Cash cost (Leading mining companies): $67,000–$75,000 - Total network cost (Including depreciation/operation): $87,000 - Historical pattern: the bottom must break through shutdown price - 2011: -75%; 2015: -40%; 2018: -20%; 2022: -14% - As institutionalization increases, deviation narrows to 10%–15% 2. Bottom price forecast (Based on shutdown prices of $69,000–$74,000) 1. Core bottom range (90% probability) - Below shutdown price by 10%: $62,000–$67,000 - Below shutdown price by 15%: $59,000–$63,000 - Overall estimate: $59,000–$62,000 2. Extreme bottom range (Extreme panic/hash rate collapse) - Below shutdown price by 20%: $55,000–$59,000 - Plus S23Hyd low shutdown price ($44,000+) and hash rate cleanup: $48,000–$52,000 3. Final conclusion (Most credible range) - Bear market bottom: $52,000–$62,000 - Strong support: $55,000–$58,000 (Mainstream mining machines + hash rate bottom resonance) - Extreme bottom: $48,000–$50,000 (Only in extreme black swan events) 3. Validation conditions (Bottom confirmation signals) - ✅ Price drops below S21 shutdown price ($69,000) and persists for 3–7 days - ✅ Total network hash rate retraces 30%–40% from peak, difficulty continues to decline - ✅ Miner loss rate ≥85%, small and medium miners' shutdown rate ≥50% - ✅ MVRV ≤0.75, weekly deviation at the bottom, fear index ≤20 4. Time window (2026) - The most likely bottom is in Q3 to Q4 of 2026 (September to November) - The bottom formation process lasts 3–6 months, then enters a new cycle

BTC around 68,300 market price short 📉 TP: 67,000 / 66,500 / 66,000 SL: 69,300 69k/70k High-level shorts can continue to hold If you don't have one, you can enter a short position! 68,000 is the first support and currently looks quite fragile Once broken, it will test the 66k/65k range Yesterday's volume breakout showed no signs of stabilization A trap for the uninformed and similar behaviors! Be cautious of chasing longs at high levels above Take a word of advice from Jin Chen, avoid losing hundreds of dollars.