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Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of $332.7 million in a single day, reversing the downward trend of August, while Ethereum experienced significant capital outflows, indicating signs of market rotation | Crypto Market Dynamics
Bitcoin ETFs regained market favor on Tuesday, with a net inflow of $332.7 million, with Fidelity's FBTC and BlackRock's IBIT contributing $132.7 million and $72.8 million, respectively. In contrast, Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of $135.3 million, indicating that funds may be rotating from ETH to BTC. Historical data shows that September is usually a weak month for Ethereum, while Bitcoin often sees capital inflow due to its safe-haven properties. Institutions like MicroStrategy continue to increase their BTC holdings, but analysts warn that chasing high yields in ETH may carry multiple risks, and the short-term direction of the market will depend on changes in risk appetite.
Bitcoin ETF funds are strongly flowing back, leading products are driving the capital inflow trend.
On September 3, Bitcoin ETFs saw a strong influx of funds, with a net inflow of $332.7 million. Fidelity's FBTC led the way with an inflow of $132.7 million, while BlackRock's IBIT received $72.8 million in funding. Other issuers such as Grayscale, Ark & 21Shares, and Bitwise also recorded net inflows. This performance stands in stark contrast to August, when Bitcoin ETFs experienced a total net outflow of $751 million, while Ethereum ETFs attracted $3.87 billion.
Ethereum ETF Faces Significant Outflows, Historical Performance in September Raises Concerns
Ethereum ETF saw net outflows of $135.3 million on Tuesday, with Fidelity FETH experiencing outflows of $99.2 million and Bitwise ETHW seeing outflows of $24.2 million. Historical data shows that September has traditionally been a relatively weak month for Ethereum: in September 2024, ETHETF had redemptions in three out of four weeks, totaling $46.54 million; during the same period, Bitcoin ETF received inflows of $1.26 billion.
Analysts point out that September is typically a "cooling period" for the cryptocurrency market, with investors' risk appetite declining, making the more risk-averse Bitcoin more favored. Derivatives market data also shows a shift in funds—over the past 24 hours, Ethereum futures saw an outflow of $1.22 billion, nearly double the outflow of Bitcoin futures at $646.7 million.
Institutional Holdings Preferences Diverge, Bitcoin Remains Dominant in Treasury Assets
Despite Ethereum reaching an all-time high of $4953.73 in August, and the total holdings of listed companies in ETH increasing from $98.97 billion to $119.68 billion, institutional demand for Bitcoin allocation remains stronger. As of the week ending September 1, Bitcoin saw a net inflow of 3,102 coins (approximately $335.8 million), with Strategy further increasing its holdings by 4,048 BTC (worth $449 million) on September 2.
Currently, the cumulative inflow of Bitcoin ETF has reached 54.24 billion USD, far exceeding the Ethereum ETF's inflow of 3.87 billion USD in August. This difference reflects that Bitcoin's positioning as a "digital reserve asset" remains solid, while Ethereum, despite providing yield opportunities, still has a relatively low allocation ratio in corporate treasuries.
High returns come with high risks, analysts warn that ETH investments should be approached with caution.
Sharplink Gaming Co-CEO Joseph Chalom warned that companies heavily allocating ETH in pursuit of extra profits may face multiple risks. He stated in the Bankless program: "Some people think there is no risk, similar to traditional finance, for the last 100 basis points of yield, but in reality, double-digit ETH yields often come with credit, counterparty, duration, and smart contract risks."
Chalon particularly pointed out that companies that are slow to react may blindly increase their allocations in an attempt to catch up with trends, and imprudent capital raising or pursuit of profit strategies may have a negative impact on the entire industry.
Market performance diverges, SOL rebounds strongly while BTC remains below the moving average.
As of Tuesday's close, Bitcoin rose 0.55% to $110,943, while Ether fell 1% to $4,327. The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies slightly increased by 0.1% to $3.81 trillion, but the internal performance was noticeably divergent: Solana rose by 3%, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) surged by 6%, while Ethereum fell by 2%.
Bitcoin has rebounded 4% since the low on August 30, but it is still below the 50-day moving average (around $115,000) and has yet to show a strong upward trend. Analysts believe that if Bitcoin can break through this key resistance level, market enthusiasm may be reignited.
Conclusion
The inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs contrasts sharply with the outflow of funds from Ethereum, indicating that market risk preferences may be changing. Historical seasonal factors, institutional allocation preferences, and risk-return considerations have jointly driven this rotation of funds. Investors should pay attention to whether Bitcoin can break through key technical levels, and whether Ethereum can find a new balance between high-yield narratives and risk control.