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#CPI数据将公布 week Tuesday 20:30,美国劳工部劳动统计局将公布美国4月未季调CPI年率,前值为2.4%,预期值持平。 从预期值来看,4月美国的综合物价水平和核心物价水平大概率将维持不变,意味着特朗普的激进策略尚未对消费品价格产生影响,预计不会对黄金和美元造成显有冲击。 如果最终公布值与预期值不一致,比如高于前值和预期值,意味着特朗普的激进策略已经从进出口产业传导至终端消费品。 不断升高的物价将抑制全社会总需求,长此以往,将导致经济衰退和失业率高弇,Bearish US dollar and US stocks,Bullish gold and white strontium and other avoid 险品种。
The "tightening spell" of inflation data ~ CPI
If the year-on-year growth rate of core CPI falls below 2.5%, Bitcoin will enter a "golden window period".
Historical data shows that when the CPI is below 3%, the average quarterly increase of Bitcoin reaches 45%. However, if the data rebounds to above 3%, the Federal Reserve's "hawkish rate hike" expectations will reignite, and highly leveraged altcoins may face a washout.