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8:30 PM, the big non-farm payroll and the grand beautiful bill are coming in double!
Tonight is destined to be an emotionally charged night!
The previous non-farm value is 13.9, the forecast value is 11.
The small non-farm data has提前"放炮": published value -3.3, extremely rare!
There have been very few instances of negative numbers in the history of non-farm payrolls, as I recall, no more than three times.
If tonight's non-farm payroll figure is negative, then basically go long with your eyes closed!
But don't rush in blindly, let's break it down according to the data logic:
Announced value >15: Bearish, the market is likely to pull back.
Announced value <11: Bullish, the market continues to rise.
On the other hand, the voting result of the large and beautiful bill is currently 212:211, passing with a narrow margin, but the final result and market interpretation are yet to be confirmed. It is very likely to trigger a wave of "roller-coaster" wash trading, changing rapidly.
Strategic recommendations:
Hold the ground, do not act rashly before the data is out.
Once the market becomes clear, follow the trend and do not go against it!
Tonight is an opportunity, and also a test. #非农 #大而美法案