Bet on @MerabDvalishvil today.

Dvalishvili is operating at full speed and is close to making his fourth title defense within a single year, which would set a new @ufc record.

@PetrYanUFC, although back in solid form after a losing streak, appears to be past his competitive peak. He’ll provide resistance, but he’s unlikely to withstand Merab’s pace over five rounds.

Merab also has higher chances of winning at @Polymarket.

Key reasons:

1/ Their striking level is roughly equal (this is not a classic “wrestler vs striker” matchup).
2/ Merab’s freestyle wrestling is simply on another level.
3/ Their overall grappling appears similar, but Yan still has serious gaps, especially when giving up his back (as seen in the Sterling fight, where he spent long stretches unable to escape).

So “The Machine” should once again impose a dominant style: high pace, constant striking flurries, relentless takedowns, and extended top control.

The fight will most likely go the distance, but a late-round submission is possible.

The only real concerns are Merab avoiding reckless early exchanges and ensuring that a fourth fight within a year doesn’t affect his endurance. Still, these remain global, low-probability risks.

Good luck to the champ, @MerabDvalishvil!