Ten years ago, I used CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) to run some numbers—Bitcoin would reach $100,000. Looking back now, that prediction actually holds up pretty well.

So this time, I’ll use the same method to project what might happen from 2025 to 2035.

First, the baseline: let’s assume a 40% annual growth rate. This figure isn’t pulled out of thin air; it mainly references global adoption speed and on-chain activity. If this pace is maintained for ten years, (1+0.40)^10 comes out to about 28x. Assuming Bitcoin is hovering around $100,000 now, what about 2035? That would be roughly $3.3 million per coin.

Looking at it conservatively? A 30% annual growth rate. Compounded over ten years that’s 13.79x, corresponding to a price of about $1.3 million—this should be the lowest expectation.

Of course, there’s also the aggressive scenario: if annual growth breaks 50%, that’s a different story. (1+0.50)^10 is about a 57x increase, meaning the price could soar to $6.7 million. Sound exaggerated? But the crypto market is always full of surprises.

Simply put, even in the most conservative scenario, there’s a high probability that Bitcoin will break the million-dollar mark in ten years. Of course, that’s assuming the market doesn’t throw any curveballs.