#美SEC促进加密资产创新监管框架 ⚡ Bitcoin Technical Alert: If Bear Flag Breaks Down, $70,000 Could Become the Bottom

Well-known on-chain analyst Ali recently shared an opinion on social media: Bitcoin is brewing a classic technical trap—a bear flag.

**What does the pattern look like?**

The previous drop formed the "flagpole," and the current period of choppy consolidation is the "flag." If the price breaks below the lower edge of this consolidation zone, the pattern will be confirmed. Theoretically, the downside could extend to around $70,000.

**But here’s a crucial “however”—**

The pattern hasn’t broken down yet. The lower edge is still holding. This means everything is just a "potential risk" for now, not a fact.

**What if you’re holding coins?**

Keep your eyes glued to the lower edge of the consolidation range. Double-check your stop-loss settings, and hedge if necessary. Don’t wait until the technical breakdown happens to think about stop-losses—that’ll be too late.

**What if you’re on the sidelines?**

Don’t rush to catch the bottom in this lower-edge zone. This area is currently a "high-probability trap." Wait until the direction becomes clear before jumping in—that’s the rational approach.

**To be honest**

Technical pattern pressure plus macro uncertainty—two layers of pressure. The smartest move right now: don’t bet on direction, just protect your principal. The ones who survive until the real bull run are often those willing to "wait."