Silver has broken through the $60 mark! As soon as the Fed's interest rate meeting started in December, the precious metals market exploded - silver soared by $60 per ounce, and the cumulative increase this year has doubled. Behind this wave of ferocious market is the market's strong expectations for interest rate cuts.
Let's take a look at a few key signals: The Federal Reserve will start its two-day meeting on the 9th, and the current market forecast is an 80% chance of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points. The recent weak U.S. employment data, coupled with Trump's public statement that interest rate cuts are a test of the new Fed chairman's ability, several popular candidates have also sent signals that "there is enough room for significant rate cuts." Catalyzed by this easing expectation, silver prices have been running wildly. UBS is even more aggressive, directly setting a target price for silver in the $58 to $60 range in 2026, and even predicts that it may touch $65.
What does this wave of rate cut expectations mean for crypto players? To put it simply, cutting interest rates is to make market liquidity more abundant. When the cost of capital is reduced, hot money will naturally look for high-risk and high-return investment targets. Silver has reacted in advance, and cryptocurrencies, as more volatile alternatives, could theoretically benefit from an accommodative environment. After all, when money becomes "cheap", investors are more willing to allocate part of their funds to the digital asset field.
But cold water must be poured here: silver has doubled, and analysts have warned of a possible pullback, and cryptocurrencies can fluctuate much more than silver. The routine of "buying expectations and selling facts" is not uncommon in traditional finance - when interest rate cuts are actually implemented, it may trigger profit-taking. Moreover, there are disagreements within the Fed about rate cuts, and some officials are worried about the resurgence of inflation. So don't stud, position management is more important than anything else.
The biggest suspense now is: Will this interest rate meeting be cut as the market expects? If the interest rate cut is realized, will Bitcoin be the first to break through or will altcoins explode first? What do you think of the direction of this wave of market?
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GasFeeTears
· 12-12 17:11
Silver has doubled, which is indeed fierce, but the hype around this speculative wave is too strong. Once the rate cut is implemented, we need to be careful of a reverse dump; don't go all in.
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The expectation of a rate cut is a double-edged sword. Silver has risen so sharply, yet some still bearish. With Bitcoin's volatility so high, are we really willing to go all in?
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Let's wait and see the results of the interest rate meeting. An 80% chance of a rate cut sounds good, but that's all it is. The key is how the market reacts after implementation.
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The strategy of "buy on expectation, sell on fact" is even more ruthless in crypto markets. Let's see who flees the top first.
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Hot money flooding into precious metals is so intense that Bitcoin should theoretically benefit too, but reality often hits hard.
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There are disagreements within the Federal Reserve. Is a rate cut really certain? Feels a bit overdone.
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Silver has already warned of a correction, but crypto still expects a breakout. That’s a bit too optimistic, haha.
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This time, it all depends on how much pressure Trump is under. If the rate cut really happens, the crypto circle will explode again.
View OriginalReply0
OvertimeSquid
· 12-12 02:22
Silver has doubled in value, and I'm still waiting for Bitcoin to take off. My mentality is really collapsing.
If the interest rate cuts really materialize, I'll eat noodles; if it's just another false alarm, I'll go all-in directly.
Wait a minute, will the Federal Reserve pull some tricks again...
I've heard a hundred times that position management is just talk, but I still can't help but want to go all-in.
It feels like this time the Bitcoin should move first with the rate cuts; altcoins are too unreliable.
View OriginalReply0
DaoTherapy
· 12-10 08:53
I didn't keep up with the doubling of silver, but this wave of interest rate cut expectations is really fragrant.
Stud? No, no, no, I learned to be smart this time, and position management is king.
The routine of buying expectations and selling facts is too classic, and there may really be a big pullback when the time comes.
If the interest rate cut is really implemented, who will fly first, Bitcoin or altcoins? I bet on Bitcoin, after all, it is the most resistant.
Wait and see the results of the meeting on the 12th, I feel that this wave is the real starting point.
View OriginalReply0
0xSunnyDay
· 12-10 08:51
The silver has doubled, and I'm still struggling with whether to increase my position in BTC, which is really amazing haha
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The expectation of interest rate cuts is poison, and it really landed and smashed the market, and I bet that this time I am buying expectations and selling facts
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Wait, what does Trump mean by this, the chairman of the Fed will have to look at his face in the future?
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I understand position management, but I haven't done it, let's be serious this time
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Precious metals are like this, why is the currency circle still so weak, is it possible that institutions are still waiting for something
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$65? UBS's prediction is a bit fierce, and I feel that silver may have to adjust this wave
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Stud is really ruthless, I should be conservative, anyway, I can't starve if I miss the market
View OriginalReply0
WalletDivorcer
· 12-10 08:47
Doubling silver is indeed crazy, but the moment the interest rate cut lands is the real watershed, and now it's all expected hype.
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Stud friends, think carefully about the phrase "buy expectations and sell facts"...
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I feel that Bitcoin is still a bit more stable in this wave, and altcoins are easy to be slaughtered.
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There are differences within the Fed, no one mentions this, inflation is really back, all assets have to kneel.
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80% probability of interest rate cuts? Just listen, the probability of the financial market is completely different from what actually happens.
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Silver is about to pull back, you tell me that crypto will soar? What a dream.
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The key is to look at the face after the interest rate meeting, and the Fed chairman can reverse the overall situation with one sentence.
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This wave of loose environment is indeed beneficial to the currency circle, but don't be fooled by the rise of silver, the risks are completely different.
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When the time comes, the interest rate cut is really coming, but it is the most dangerous time, and the opportunity for big funds to cut leeks comes.
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Position management is the truth, and all in friends can slowly wait to be educated.
View OriginalReply0
TrustlessMaximalist
· 12-10 08:23
It is really hard for silver to double, but the moment the interest rate cut lands is the real test, don't be carried away by expectations
Silver has broken through the $60 mark! As soon as the Fed's interest rate meeting started in December, the precious metals market exploded - silver soared by $60 per ounce, and the cumulative increase this year has doubled. Behind this wave of ferocious market is the market's strong expectations for interest rate cuts.
Let's take a look at a few key signals: The Federal Reserve will start its two-day meeting on the 9th, and the current market forecast is an 80% chance of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points. The recent weak U.S. employment data, coupled with Trump's public statement that interest rate cuts are a test of the new Fed chairman's ability, several popular candidates have also sent signals that "there is enough room for significant rate cuts." Catalyzed by this easing expectation, silver prices have been running wildly. UBS is even more aggressive, directly setting a target price for silver in the $58 to $60 range in 2026, and even predicts that it may touch $65.
What does this wave of rate cut expectations mean for crypto players? To put it simply, cutting interest rates is to make market liquidity more abundant. When the cost of capital is reduced, hot money will naturally look for high-risk and high-return investment targets. Silver has reacted in advance, and cryptocurrencies, as more volatile alternatives, could theoretically benefit from an accommodative environment. After all, when money becomes "cheap", investors are more willing to allocate part of their funds to the digital asset field.
But cold water must be poured here: silver has doubled, and analysts have warned of a possible pullback, and cryptocurrencies can fluctuate much more than silver. The routine of "buying expectations and selling facts" is not uncommon in traditional finance - when interest rate cuts are actually implemented, it may trigger profit-taking. Moreover, there are disagreements within the Fed about rate cuts, and some officials are worried about the resurgence of inflation. So don't stud, position management is more important than anything else.
The biggest suspense now is: Will this interest rate meeting be cut as the market expects? If the interest rate cut is realized, will Bitcoin be the first to break through or will altcoins explode first? What do you think of the direction of this wave of market?