【2025/12/11】Market Analysis

Last night’s script replayed itself: The Federal Reserve announced a rate cut, Powell's speech was dovish, the market initially celebrated and surged higher, then a large bearish candle dropped down, trapping all those who chased the high. What does this indicate? It shows that the current market is extremely fragile; any positive news boosting prices is just a "trap for long gains," providing better positions for bears to dump.

This is the third rate cut this year, and the market is already numb, with technical indicators all pointing to a "bear" trend. The daily chart continuously closes with bearish candles, with lower highs and lower lows, clearly indicating a downward trend; the hourly chart each rebound is accompanied by long upper shadows, as if hitting an invisible ceiling and being sharply pushed down; MACD is opening downward below the zero line, showing strong bearish momentum; all moving averages are pressing down on the price from above.

One sentence for this week's strategy: Don’t chase the bottom, don’t follow the rally. All upward moves should be viewed as "rebound" opportunities; shorting on rallies is the trend, and the market is telling us: when positive news runs out, it’s actually negative.

$BTC Brother B’s Bitcoin Trading Strategy:
Sell at 91500-90500, stop loss above 92500, target 88800-87800
Buy lightly at 87900-88900, stop loss below 87000, target 90000-91000
$ETH Brother B’s Ethereum Trading Strategy:
Sell at 3245-3195, stop loss above 3305, target 3095-3045
Buy at 3025-3065, stop loss below 2985, target 3145-3190
$BTC $ETH #美联储降息预测