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#加密王先生
On December 11-12, 2025, ETH initially surged on the Fed's hawkish rate cut news, then fell back, and subsequently entered a period of oscillation and consolidation. The battle between bulls and bears was intense. Below is a detailed market analysis:
December 11: ETH's performance was highly synchronized with Bitcoin. Short-term positive sentiment was driven by the Fed's "rate cut + balance sheet expansion" policy, causing a rebound to around $3450 during the day. However, the hawkish stance from the Fed sparked market concerns, leading to a quick decline. The five consecutive daily bullish candles ended, and the price stabilized around $3280. Short-term rebound momentum weakened significantly, and after encountering resistance at the daily MA60, the MACD showed signs of shrinking, indicating an increasing need for a short-term correction.
December 12: ETH's price stabilized around $3200, with a daily high of $3326 and a low of $3142. Technically, the daily candlestick fell below the upper Bollinger Band at 3329. MACD volume remained unchanged, but the DIF and DEA lines were below the zero line. The four-hour candlestick pattern showed a descending flag, signaling a bearish trend. The Bollinger Band broke downward, forming resistance at $3230. Key support levels below are concentrated in the $3170 - $3122 range. The market is likely to consolidate between the EMA15 support at $3122 and the EMA120 trend top at $3518.
Additionally, the current key resistance for ETH is between $3350 - $3400, with a key support at $3150. If this support fails, the next target is around $3000. High leverage trading increases liquidation risk. Future focus should be on support level resilience and changes in institutional capital flow.
Yesterday's live prediction suggested that after an initial drop, ETH would rebound and consolidate in the $3265 - $3275 range. Although the move wasn't large, after the rate cut, the market is expected to oscillate in this zone, with a false breakout. Traders should focus on arranging positions within this range!