2025-12-15 18:10:22

#加密生态动态追踪 December 16 $BTC Early Morning Market Breakdown

On Monday, BTC briefly surged to 89,940 before starting to pull back, and it hasn’t managed to break above that level since. The market is clearly dominated by bears, with the rebound merely a technical correction. The bulls lack momentum, and no strong support has been established at the bottom—this rebound won’t last long. Is this the bottoming point? The risk is too high.

My view: Sell on rallies.

Specific strategy: You can start shorting BTC around 86,500, targeting around 84,500.

Timing is crucial; don’t be fooled by the rebound.

BTC1,55%

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SatoshiChallenger

· 2025-12-17 22:06

It's the same old tired argument of "sell high and buy low." Data shows that every major rebound was preceded by people saying the same thing. And what was the result? The ones who got crushed were the bagholders. --- 86500 short position? Interesting. The last time someone operated at this level, their account was wiped out in three days. --- Ironically, the deeper it seems there's no bottom, the more likely it is actually the bottom. But I admit, I don't know for sure. --- Don't be fooled by technical analysis; market irrationality often lasts longer than you think. --- Timing? Is timing something humans can control? It's actually machines that control the rhythm. --- Now that the calls for shorting are so uniform, it actually makes me a bit nervous—usually, the biggest pain comes from a reverse blow when everyone is so confident. --- Not to be contrarian, but anyone who read about the 2018 wave should understand that the so-called "no bottom established" just means you haven't seen it yet.

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GasFeeCrybaby

· 2025-12-16 21:07

It's another case of shorting at the top; your usual spiel is almost worn out, haha. Oh my, are you really opening a short at 86,500? Feels a bit late. Saying that rebounds are just a bluff isn't wrong, but are the bulls really that powerless right now?

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RektDetective

· 2025-12-16 16:10

Hitting the high every time with this routine, I've heard it too many times. And what happened? Just turned around and got beaten down by the rebound. --- 86500 short position? Bro, can you not reverse your position again this time haha. --- Another bearish outlook, okay, let's wait and see the rebound face-slapping scene. --- No strength in the bulls? Then why are we repeatedly testing around 89940? Isn't that just absorbing the supply? --- Grasping the rhythm... easy to say, how many can truly grasp it? Most are just being played by the rhythm. --- I'm not confident about the 84500 target level, I can't feel it. --- I believe in the bearish show, but the rebound eating up short positions even faster, that's the current logic.

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MetaverseLandlord

· 2025-12-15 18:39

I admit to shorting on rallies, but I still feel that the 86,500 level is a bit risky. Be cautious with short positions. --- Coming again with a bearish call? Why do I feel like every time you’re shouting collapse at the bottom? --- Not to mention anything else, but your analysis style does have some real skill; you just need to keep a steady mindset. --- 85,000? I think this wave might not break down; you’re underestimating the rebound strength. --- Oh my, another bearish argument. This week’s market really has been a tug-of-war. --- Shorting at 86,500? I think I’ll wait and see; no rush for now. --- Really, are the bulls this useless? It feels like every rebound is dismissed as worthless by you guys. --- Timing is key—there’s truth in that, but are you sure you’re getting the timing right? --- Shorting on rallies, sounds aggressive, but in actual trading, quite a few people are cutting losses.

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liquidation_watcher

· 2025-12-15 18:39

Sell on rallies, this rhythm is indeed correct. That needle at 89940 is still in my mind today; the rebound is just to cut the leeks. --- Going to open a short position again. I also favor the 86500 level, but I must hold my stop loss. --- The bulls lack strength—it's true. Those who want to catch the bottom before it’s stable are definitely going to feel uncomfortable now. --- Don't be fooled by the rebound. One sentence outweighs ten thousand words. --- This time, the short target is 84500. It feels a bit risky. Where are the risk points? --- Selling on rallies, this trick works every time—it's all about who has a stronger mental state. --- Short position at 86500? I need to see if the volume can support it. --- The rebound is just a correction. I agree with this judgment. The bulls really don't have many tricks. --- When 89940 can't be broken through, you should realize that the bears see all mountains as small. --- Rhythm is the easiest thing to get wrong. Maybe wait a bit more at 86500.

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BearMarketBuilder

· 2025-12-15 18:38

Sell on rallies, this idea has no problem. Just worry that a V-shaped reversal might come again, causing the short positions to blow up directly.

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BearMarketNoodler

· 2025-12-15 18:37

Buying high and smashing is a sound strategy; the 86,500 level is indeed a good entry point for short positions.

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AlwaysAnon

· 2025-12-15 18:25

Sell at the top, I've played this trick before, the key is not to be greedy. The 86,500 level is indeed worth paying attention to.

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StakeOrRegret

· 2025-12-15 18:23

Here comes the empty order washout theory again; I've seen this routine many times. --- Planning to short at 86500? I think they just want to harvest another wave of retail investors. --- Is the rebound just a bluff? I just want to ask, after 89940, is it a deep V or continue to surge? --- Buying high and smashing down, easy to say, but when it really crashes, a single positive news can cause a liquidation. --- Starting to call for shorts before the bottom is even established—bro, are you gambling or analyzing? --- Talking about timing, that sounds ridiculous. How many people can really grasp the rhythm? --- Can 84500 be reached? Feels like this number is a bit arbitrary. --- Bearish traders are acting up, wait, a few days ago it was bullish stories, now the script has changed? --- May I ask, what is the confidence level for 86500? --- Is it just technical correction and rhythm again? Is that real?

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