2025-12-16 01:30:44

#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 Yesterday's market gave us a very good lesson — what seems like a calm day can turn around 180 degrees in the evening.

$BTC Starting from 89,800, it was hammered down all the way to the critical support at 85,000 before stabilizing, with a nearly 5,000-point decline in a single move. Now hovering around 86,000, the market is bouncing back and forth; although there are some signs of rebound, the strength is clearly insufficient. For those who shorted in sync with the rhythm, this wave of gains should be securely in the bag.

**What does the technical analysis say?**

The bears are still very confident. On the 4-hour chart, the price not only broke below the lower Bollinger Band, but when it rebounded, it was pressed down hard by the lower band, with the entire Bollinger Band opening downward. This pattern is a classic sign of a dominant downtrend — the trend is very clear.

The MACD remains in a death cross, with the green momentum bars expanding, indicating that the bears are still controlling the pace and haven't lost their advantage yet. Although the KDJ has entered the oversold zone, the reversal signal hasn't appeared yet. Even if there's a short-term rebound, the extent will likely be limited. The risk of a second bottom must be guarded against.

**What’s the next move?**

The strategy remains unchanged — continue shorting on rebounds. The key zone is between 87,200 and 87,700, which should be a good shorting point. The first target is 85,000; if that level breaks, look further down to 83,700.

There's no need to rush into bottom fishing now. Going with the trend is the most sustainable trading logic.

BTC-0,86%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

15 Likes

Reward
15
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

TheMemefather

· 2025-12-19 01:10

89800 dropped to 85000, this is called a surprise... the rebound is weak, the bears are still playing 87200-87700 is indeed a good shorting zone, following the trend is key, don't be reckless and buy the dip

View OriginalReply0

ContractFreelancer

· 2025-12-18 23:30

I need to stay within the 87,200-87,700 range; I feel like the bears haven't had enough yet.

View OriginalReply0

DEXRobinHood

· 2025-12-18 22:16

Last night's move was indeed fierce, dropping from 89,800 directly to 85,000, short sellers are thrilled. The Bollinger Bands are tightly compressed, showing no strength in the rebound. This is a clear signal that the trend should continue downward. Continue to push down from 87,200-87,700, with the first target to hold at 85,000, and a second bottom test is definitely coming.

View OriginalReply0

MelonField

· 2025-12-16 01:58

When the Federal Reserve moves, the shorts come alive. This 5000-point drop was a real profit frenzy for those who got the rhythm right. The rebound is all fake; smashing through 87700 is the real deal. The Bollinger Bands are pressing down hard, and this gap is quite deep, so a continued bottoming out is guaranteed. Last night, the day session and the evening session felt like two different worlds, which is why you need to keep close to the rhythm—bottom fishing is just asking for death. If 85000 breaks again, watch 83700; the shorts have indeed never let go.

View OriginalReply0

RugPullSurvivor

· 2025-12-16 01:55

It's the Federal Reserve causing trouble again, with a 5000-point drop happening out of nowhere. This rebound is simply not enough to watch.

View OriginalReply0

SignatureAnxiety

· 2025-12-16 01:55

Last night's plunge was really decisive, the 5000-point drop directly broke through, and those who shorted correctly made a killing. The MACD death cross is still there, and the Bollinger Bands are firmly suppressing, so a rebound is unlikely. Continue shorting at 87200, don't be greedy for the bottom. A 5000-point decline is quite fierce, but the bearish momentum remains very steady. This correction is just cleaning out the floating positions; retail investors are all struggling to catch the bottom, while smart money has long been shorting to hedge. KDJ is oversold but hasn't shown a reversal signal yet, indicating there’s still room below, so don’t rush. Rebounds are smashing down again, keep smashing, just go with the flow. The biggest fear is those fake rebounds, quick reversals, full of tricks. The Bollinger Bands are widening, and the bears are really in control of the situation. Can 85000 really hold? It seems like they want to test 83700 again. Short, short, short—what else can I do besides short? Anyway, the calm during the day is all a lie.

View OriginalReply0

EternalMiner

· 2025-12-16 01:47

So we still need to break 83,700, huh? The bearish trend really never ends.

View OriginalReply0

consensus_failure

· 2025-12-16 01:32

Last night, that wave broke through directly. It seems the bears really aren't playing with you. The Bollinger Band being squeezed to death is no joke; continuing to look bearish is fine. I'm also waiting at the 87200-87700 level; I'll smash it on a rebound. Going with the trend is a perfect phrase; those chasing the bottom should stay calm. Breaking 85000 will be truly exciting; see you then.

View OriginalReply0