#加密行情预测

Bottoming is not a single action, but a process

Many people interpret "bottoming" as a one-time event:
 either you get it right or you get it wrong.
 But in the real market, successful bottoming is often the result of multiple imperfect choices.

In the current environment, macro uncertainties still exist, and the market structure has not yet fully recovered, indicating that the bottom is more likely to be a range rather than a single point. Going all-in too early can be eroded by time, while completely staying out of the market can be easily reversed by emotional shifts.

So instead of asking "Is this the bottom now," it’s better to ask:
 If this is not the lowest point, can my position still withstand it?
 If this is the stage bottom, have I already participated?

My recent approach leans towards a "three-stage" strategy:

First stage, small positions to verify if the market has stopped falling;

Second stage, if a range-bound oscillation forms, gradually increase allocation;

Third stage, wait for the trend to truly reverse before adding more.

In a bear market, what’s most valuable isn’t judgment, but a sense of rhythm.