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December 30th ETH short-term bias is oscillating and weak, mainly aiming for high short positions on rebounds and low long positions on support; key boundaries: 2980 (break above turns bullish), 2890 (break below turns bearish).
1. Core Price Levels (12/30 13:30, current price ≈ 2940)
• Resistance: 2965 (50EMA), 2980 (100EMA), 3010 (daily structure), 3083 (200-day moving average)
• Support: 2920 (lower boundary of range), 2890 (strong support), 2850 (key platform), 2750 (previous low)
2. Technical Indicators (4h+1h)
• 4h: Price below EMA30/100, RSI≈42 (weak), MACD below zero line with death cross, decreasing histogram (weakening bearish momentum)
• 1h: Continuous bullish rebound candlesticks, MACD golden cross but insufficient volume, clear resistance above
• Conclusion: Short-term oscillation leaning bearish, rebound lacks strength, need to break 2980 to turn bullish, breaking below 2890 accelerates decline
3. Executable Strategies (Contracts/Short-term)
1. High Short on Rebound (Main Strategy)
• Entry: Short in batches at 2960-2980, initial position at 2960, add at 2980 (controlled batching)
• Stop Loss: 3010 (2980+30 points, or above the 3000 level)
• Targets: 2920 (first), 2890 (second), 2850 (third, hold if broken)
2. Low Long on Support (Auxiliary Strategy)
• Entry: Long positions stabilized at 2890-2900 (wait for 1h bullish close / long lower shadow confirmation)
• Stop Loss: 2860 (2890-30 points)
• Targets: 2940 (first), 2960 (second, take profit at resistance)
3. Breakout Chase Orders (after confirmation)
• Long: Stand firm above 2980 (1h close), chase long, stop loss at 2950, targets 3010-3030
• Short: Break below 2890 (1h close), chase short, stop loss at 2920, targets 2850-2820
4. Risk Control and Execution Points
• Position Size: ≤20% per strategy, total position ≤50%; enter in batches, avoid heavy bets on breakouts
• Take Profit: Reduce positions at targets, first target reduce by 50%, second by 30%, remaining based on breakout levels
• Trigger: After breaking key levels, wait for 1h close confirmation before acting to avoid false breakouts
5. TradingView Order Templates (Copy and Use)
• Short Orders: Limit 2960 short, Limit 2980 short; Stop 3010 stop loss; TakeProfit 2920/2890/2850
• Long Orders: Limit 2895 long; Stop 2860 stop loss; TakeProfit 2940/2960
• Alerts: Trigger when price ≥2980 or ≤2890, indicating breakout/breakdown