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January 2nd (Friday) Bitcoin Daily Key Reminder (as of 01:50)
Price
• Core Event: The 17th anniversary of Bitcoin's genesis block, market sentiment may rebound on commemorative mood.
• Key Levels: Support at 87,000 USDT, strong support at 86,000 USDT; resistance at 89,000 USDT, strong resistance at 90,000 USDT.
• Technical Signals: 4-hour RSI has not formed a clear golden cross, rebound momentum is weak, watch for volume breakout above resistance.
Liquidation
• Risk Points: Volatility may amplify on anniversary day, beware of long positions being liquidated if 87,000 USDT support is lost.
• Monitoring Indicators: Overall long-short ratio (currently about 0.92, bears dominate), 24-hour liquidation amount (watch for exceeding 50 million USD).
Institutions
• Focus of Tracking: Large transfers on platforms like Coinbase (≥500 BTC), net inflow/outflow of ETF funds.
• Institutional Viewpoints: 10X Research believes January is likely to turn bullish, while Founder Securities suggests a possible dip to 65,000 USDT in the first half of the year.
Regulation
• Dynamic Tracking: U.S. CFTC officials' policy movements regarding derivatives market after returning to office, which may influence market expectations.