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Many people have not misread the market trends in the crypto world, yet they still end up losing money. The fundamental reason often isn't the market itself, but decision-making. I've pressed the open position button without thinking too much too many times. Impulsiveness may seem brave, but in reality, it's the prelude to losing everything. Later, I discovered something more effective than any K-line pattern or technical indicator—a set of fixed "Open Position Checklist." Before entering each trade, I force myself to go through five questions; if I can't pass, I won't touch it no matter how tempting.
**Level 1: Is the direction aligned?**
This is the most basic and easily overlooked. Are you following the trend of the larger cycle, or are you betting that the market will turn around? The market has its own rhythm, and your judgment here carries no weight. Trading along the main trend will push the market to help you profit; going against it means using your capital to endure the volatility. Ask yourself simply: Is this trade based on the big picture at the daily level, or am I hoping for a small rebound? If it's the latter, just give up.
**Level 2: Is this really a signal, or am I just making excuses?**
The scariest thing isn't a false signal, but the "feeling that it's about time to enter" kind of rationalization. Truly effective entries must meet repeatedly verified conditions: Has a golden cross appeared? Is the volume supporting it? Is the pattern structure complete? Everything pointing in the same direction—that's a confirmed signal. Those ambiguous "seems like an opportunity" moments are 100% emotional traps you set for yourself.
**Level 3: Have I thoroughly understood the position?**
Where is the support? Where is the resistance? Why am I entering at this price? These three questions must be answered clearly. If your stop-loss placement is vague, then this isn't trading—it's gambling. If you don't clearly understand the support and resistance levels, market fluctuations will scare you out. It's not about executing the stop-loss; it's about being forced out by the market.
**Level 4: Can I bear the worst-case scenario?**
Before placing an order, consider the possibility of loss. Calculate the stop-loss position and maximum loss in advance. Stop-loss isn't an optional choice; it's an ironclad rule that must be followed. If you can't bring yourself to accept a stop-loss, it indicates your position size is probably too large—that's a warning sign in itself.
**Level 5: Will this position affect my judgment?**
Your account is a tool for long-term survival, not a battlefield to prove you're right or wrong. Ensure that the loss from this trade stays within normal market fluctuations, rather than triggering an emotional breakdown. If your position size is so large that you need a market reversal to survive, you've been wrong from the start.
Traders who can consistently profit are not necessarily skilled in technical analysis, but they can control themselves in impulsive moments. Market opportunities are endless, but each person only has one account. Maintaining discipline in not opening positions—that's the key to long-term survival in the market.
The real contrarian indicator is myself.
Is the direction wrong? I am aligned with it, but the market always moves counter to me, which feels incredibly absurd.
I agree that signals are hard to distinguish between true and false, but the key is I can't tell whether I'm fooling myself or if I really see something, and that's despairing.
I know exactly where to cut losses, but I just can't do it, and then... there's nothing after that.
The biggest benefit of this checklist for me is that it makes me realize my losses more clearly.
I need to print out this checklist and stick it on my computer. It has saved my life every time.
It sounds simple, but in reality, it's hell to do. I still often can't get past the second level.
Position sizing, to put it simply, is gambling on your own willpower. I've lost more than once betting against it.
Oh my god, finally someone has exposed this. I thought I was the only one who got chopped up by emotions.
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Checklists have really saved me many times; now just one review makes me uncomfortable
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The most cowardly are those who think "it might go up" and then go all-in. I've seen too many of these
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Reluctant to cut losses? That just means you're telling yourself you're ready to get liquidated, nothing else
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No matter how good the technicals are, if your mentality collapses, it's all useless. That's the real truth
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Position management is seriously underestimated; 99% of people haven't done it well
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Trading with the trend vs. betting against the trend; the difference is huge, many people haven't understood this
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The five questions I ask myself before each entry now have helped me avoid many impulsive trades
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Your account is like life; you only get one, so don't go all-in just to prove yourself
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I've learned to ignore ambiguous signals; really, there are too many false impressions