Why do even top-tier AI engineers struggle to forecast the explosive growth of systems they themselves created? The answer lies in a fundamental quirk of human cognition: our brains are wired to process linear progression, not exponential expansion. We naturally expect things to grow in straight lines, but transformative technologies explode along curves that our intuition simply can't grasp. This cognitive blindspot causes researchers and architects to repeatedly underestimate breakthrough capabilities. As the saying goes—and it captures this perfectly—most people dramatically miscalculate where exponential systems will land, because we're stuck thinking in incremental steps rather than multiplicative jumps. The gap between our linear instincts and exponential reality keeps catching even the brightest minds off guard.
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DefiOldTrickster
· 01-05 08:05
Haha, that's why I almost got liquidated in 2017—really thought exponential growth was linear for arbitrage, but ended up getting hammered by leverage in a counterattack. It's hilarious.
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GameFiCritic
· 01-05 02:59
That's why so many big companies' economic models are a mess. A linear mindset applied to an exponentially growing game ecosystem—how could it not crash?
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CexIsBad
· 01-04 10:52
The exponential growth here is really amazing; even those building AI have fallen into traps, it's hilarious.
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WalletWhisperer
· 01-04 10:50
Haha, at the end of the day, it's still a human brain bug. The criticism of linear thinking versus exponential growth is really spot on.
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YieldChaser
· 01-04 10:45
Exponential growth is definitely a valid point, but I think many people don't realize how linear they actually are... Our predictions about AI are just like that, all armchair strategizing after the fact.
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AirdropHarvester
· 01-04 10:42
Ha, you're right, our brains are just linear garbage... exponential growth is completely unimaginable.
Why do even top-tier AI engineers struggle to forecast the explosive growth of systems they themselves created? The answer lies in a fundamental quirk of human cognition: our brains are wired to process linear progression, not exponential expansion. We naturally expect things to grow in straight lines, but transformative technologies explode along curves that our intuition simply can't grasp. This cognitive blindspot causes researchers and architects to repeatedly underestimate breakthrough capabilities. As the saying goes—and it captures this perfectly—most people dramatically miscalculate where exponential systems will land, because we're stuck thinking in incremental steps rather than multiplicative jumps. The gap between our linear instincts and exponential reality keeps catching even the brightest minds off guard.