January 6th BTC Core Conclusion: Bullish trend is clear, short-term overbought with potential for a pullback. Focus on buying the dip during pullbacks, consider light positions on volume breakthroughs, strictly control position sizes and stop-losses, and avoid blindly shorting.

1. Market and Indicators (January 6th, 13:45)

- Price: Highest around 95,245, currently near 94,500, daily candles are consecutive green, 5/10-day moving averages are golden cross upward
- Key Indicators: Daily RSI around 66, indicating strength; 4-hour/hour RSI near 80, overbought, MACD bullish but short-term correction possible
- Sentiment and Funds: Fear and greed index at extreme greed, spot ETF continues to see net inflows, institutional buying support is strong

2. Key Price Levels (Units: USD)

- Support: 93,000 (immediate), 92,300-92,800 (trendline/previous high turned support), 90,000 (psychological level), 89,600-88,800 (strong support zone)
- Resistance: 94,700-95,000 (intraday high/psychological barrier), 95,000-96,000 (area of heavy short-term positions)

3. Trading Strategy (Gradual positioning, risk control prioritized)

1. No holdings:
- Buy the dip: Stabilize around 92,300-92,800 with light positions, stop-loss below 88,800, target 94,000-95,000
- Breakout buy: Volume breakout above 95,000 (and stabilize) with small positions, stop-loss at 94,000, target 97,000-98,000
- Avoid chasing highs; wait for pullbacks or confirmed breakouts before acting

2. Position management:
- Longs: Move stop-loss up to 93,000, take partial profits at 94,000-95,000, lock in gains
- Shorts: Only attempt a very light short when 95,000 is repeatedly tested and volume drops, stop-loss at 95,500, target 93,000, quick in and out, avoid holding positions too long

3. Risk control rules:
- Total position size ≤ 30%, individual trade ≤ 10%; strictly enforce stop-losses, avoid holding losing positions
- Watch for volume breakout above 95,000 and strong support at 89,600-90,000; adjust strategy if levels are broken

4. Risk Warning

- Short-term overbought conditions may trigger technical pullbacks in the 92,000-93,000 range; do not panic, stabilization during pullback is a good entry point
- Be alert to sudden macro or regulatory news; reduce positions and observe during increased volatility