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Manufacturing Industry Business Climate Index(ISM PMI) latest released, has fallen to a 14-month low—47.9.
The signal behind this number is very clear: the US economy is still in the contraction zone. What does this mean for us traders? The true rebound of risk assets requires the ISM to break through the 50 threshold. As long as it remains below 50, the overall market risk appetite has not truly warmed up.
In simple terms, relying on a few positive news is not enough; we need to see real improvement in manufacturing data before risk assets can experience a substantial upward trend. At this position, caution is still the best approach.