The crypto world is like a dark forest full of dangers. Data shows that 80% of market fluctuations are secretly manipulated by various tactics. Retail investors need more than luck to survive—they rely on counter-human instincts and calm judgment.
Over the years, those who successfully avoid being harvested have mastered a core set of rules. Let’s break them down.
Timing of big price drops is crucial. If prices keep falling during the day, it can actually be a good opportunity to buy the dip—because after 21:30, overseas funds usually start to push the market up. Conversely, if there’s a big rally during the day, don’t chase high; most of the time, it’s a trap to lure more buyers, and prices are likely to fall back in the evening.
Pinning signals are very subtle. The deeper the market depth, the clearer the buy/sell signals—dipping down is a chance to build a position, while rising up suggests it’s time to consider exiting. Good news can initially push prices higher, but once the announcement is out, it often turns into bad news—this is called a “good news exhausted” scenario.
Be cautious of coins promoted by communities. Projects heavily promoted in groups shouldn’t be blindly followed; instead, taking a small short position is often safer. When a coin’s hype reaches its peak, the risk is also at its highest—it's time to decisively short. Interestingly, when no one is interested in the coins promoted by the group, there might be small-scale trial-and-error opportunities.
Position management determines life or death. Over-leveraging is like putting yourself in a sniper’s crosshairs—being heavily monitored and almost guaranteed to get liquidated. Setting stop-losses may seem safe, but it can also be a trap—after a stop-loss, the market often crashes, with big players clearing retail traders first before pushing prices down. There are many examples like TRB.
Exiting positions also carries risks. When you’re close to breaking even, a sudden rebound can stop abruptly—big players simply won’t give you a chance to escape. After retail traders take profits and exit, selling pressure eases, and big players start to push the market up. Excitement often signals an impending crash—this is a trap set by big players to lure more buyers. The most deadly is FOMO—projects that suddenly skyrocket when you’re broke, forcing retail investors to buy at high prices.
Ultimately, survival in the crypto world is about staying alive and avoiding being harvested. The only advantage retail investors have is patience and resolve. The true trading principle is strict position control, avoiding gambling on single trades, waiting for the right moment, and understanding the big players’ intentions before entering. This isn’t conservatism; it’s survival wisdom. Trading, in essence, is about endurance and resilience.
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MEVictim
· 01-09 01:05
It's true, being alive is the most important thing.
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The dealer's tricks are so deep, I still have to control my desires.
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I really want to ask, does anyone really make money following this set of rules?
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Wait, are you saying that the coins pushed in the group should be shorted? Then wouldn't I be doing the opposite?
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Position management really hits me hard. I over-leveraged a couple of days ago, now I have no pants left.
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I've experienced the end of good news too many times; I'm always caught in it.
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The key is human nature. Everyone says they won't chase highs, but when it hits the limit-up, they still want to go for it.
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This theory sounds right, but when it comes to execution, my mind just gets confused.
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I need to think about the needle insertion part; I feel like I've discovered a new world.
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FOMO kills retail investors—this phrase really hits home.
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WhaleSurfer
· 01-08 16:04
Basically, don't touch coins promoted in groups; this trick is the best.
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DefiOldTrickster
· 01-07 20:34
Ha, I've been playing this theory to death for a long time—it's just one word—survival. Don't get liquidated, and you've won.
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Honestly, I've seen many instances of the 21:30 price manipulation, but to say 80% is manipulation? You need to work harder.
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That part about inserting the needle made me laugh. Is the deep signal really clear? On my side, the deeper the depth, the more I lose—haha.
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Is it safer to push coins and short in the community? I think you should try not trading; the annualized return is more stable.
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I have to call out the statement that stop-loss is a trap—stopping loss is the real trap. Don't blame the market maker if you get liquidated.
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Position management is indeed a survival rule. My TRB wave was because I didn't listen to advice. I'm still reinvesting to recover.
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I agree with the last sentence. Retail investors with strong patience do live longer, but most people die from FOMO.
View OriginalReply0
SnapshotStriker
· 01-06 12:51
It all sounds correct, but I still think most people simply can't follow through. No matter how right it is, it's useless.
View OriginalReply0
BridgeTrustFund
· 01-06 12:44
After watching for a while, I think it's quite right but also just so-so. The ones who really survive are still those who do nothing.
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Another set of "whale theory" talks. After hearing it many times, 99% of retail investors simply can't do the operations described in the article.
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I've tried the strategy of dropping prices during the day and pumping at night, but ended up losing everything due to being manipulated, haha.
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Community pushing coins to short? That's even more dangerous. One FOMO and you're done. I've seen too many stories like that.
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What they say is all correct, but it's too idealistic. In actual trading, you simply can't react in time.
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Position management is indeed the most important; everything else is虚的 (虚的 can be translated as "虚幻的" meaning "illusory" or "虚假的" meaning "fake"). I strongly agree with this.
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The idea that stop-loss is a trap is ridiculous. Not having a stop-loss is the real way to get killed.
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Surviving is the first principle. This really hit me; too many people die in a single market wave.
View OriginalReply0
nft_widow
· 01-06 12:44
It sounds like a lot of experience has been harvested, but I think this theory oversimplifies the market maker. The real situation is often more complex, and not all fluctuations are manipulated.
View OriginalReply0
AllInAlice
· 01-06 12:36
Honestly, this theory sounds great in theory but is extremely difficult to implement. The profitable people I know aren't this complicated.
The crypto world is like a dark forest full of dangers. Data shows that 80% of market fluctuations are secretly manipulated by various tactics. Retail investors need more than luck to survive—they rely on counter-human instincts and calm judgment.
Over the years, those who successfully avoid being harvested have mastered a core set of rules. Let’s break them down.
Timing of big price drops is crucial. If prices keep falling during the day, it can actually be a good opportunity to buy the dip—because after 21:30, overseas funds usually start to push the market up. Conversely, if there’s a big rally during the day, don’t chase high; most of the time, it’s a trap to lure more buyers, and prices are likely to fall back in the evening.
Pinning signals are very subtle. The deeper the market depth, the clearer the buy/sell signals—dipping down is a chance to build a position, while rising up suggests it’s time to consider exiting. Good news can initially push prices higher, but once the announcement is out, it often turns into bad news—this is called a “good news exhausted” scenario.
Be cautious of coins promoted by communities. Projects heavily promoted in groups shouldn’t be blindly followed; instead, taking a small short position is often safer. When a coin’s hype reaches its peak, the risk is also at its highest—it's time to decisively short. Interestingly, when no one is interested in the coins promoted by the group, there might be small-scale trial-and-error opportunities.
Position management determines life or death. Over-leveraging is like putting yourself in a sniper’s crosshairs—being heavily monitored and almost guaranteed to get liquidated. Setting stop-losses may seem safe, but it can also be a trap—after a stop-loss, the market often crashes, with big players clearing retail traders first before pushing prices down. There are many examples like TRB.
Exiting positions also carries risks. When you’re close to breaking even, a sudden rebound can stop abruptly—big players simply won’t give you a chance to escape. After retail traders take profits and exit, selling pressure eases, and big players start to push the market up. Excitement often signals an impending crash—this is a trap set by big players to lure more buyers. The most deadly is FOMO—projects that suddenly skyrocket when you’re broke, forcing retail investors to buy at high prices.
Ultimately, survival in the crypto world is about staying alive and avoiding being harvested. The only advantage retail investors have is patience and resolve. The true trading principle is strict position control, avoiding gambling on single trades, waiting for the right moment, and understanding the big players’ intentions before entering. This isn’t conservatism; it’s survival wisdom. Trading, in essence, is about endurance and resilience.