Looking at the LINKUSDT chart, the price is continuously moving downward, with the highs constantly shifting lower. This is not just a normal fluctuation but a clear downtrend indicating the direction.

My judgment is actually quite simple: the probability of a rebound back to the previous high is low, so it’s very likely to continue finding a bottom. Moreover, each upward push is less about reversing the trend and more about giving bears a better opportunity to short.

The key point is whether there is an increase in volume accompanied by a structural higher low to signal a potential bottom. Before that, the rebounds you see are mainly corrective moves, not trend reversals. The simple criterion is: if the lows are making new lows and the highs are still falling, it indicates the momentum is still weak. True turning points are hard to appear before the structure is broken.

So if you are looking at SOL, XRP, or other coins, the idea is similar—wait for the structure to change, don’t rush to catch the bottom.