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Weekend midday market outlook.
**Bitcoin Analysis**
During weekdays, it fluctuates, and on non-working days, it’s also hard to see significant movement— as long as there’s no sharp drop, continuous fluctuation is already a good performance.
Currently, the big coin has broken below the bearish flag pattern, with the lower boundary and the upper resistance at 95742 forming a pressure resonance. The core issue is clear: either do nothing or break through 95742 together. It has been a whole day and night at this level without breaking it, indicating strong resistance. Remember—if you can’t break 95742, don’t expect to go higher; only by surpassing 95742 and returning inside the flag pattern can there be a chance to target 97078 and the previous high. If it can’t go up, it’s pointless.
Interestingly, this is the second time it has retested the support at 94479. During the first retest, the rebound was strong enough to set a new high. If this time it can’t even reach the previous high, at least it should move toward 97078, right?
If it can’t reach 97078 and can’t break 95742, the big coin will retest 94479 again, which is a typical sign of rebound weakness—if it can’t break above resistance, it will fall back to support. If support fails, watch 93103; if it breaks below, it could head toward 91673.
**Trading Strategy**
After a volume breakout above 95742, look for long positions targeting 97078, with a stop loss at 94479. When the rebound reaches 97078, add a small short position on the left side, and if it breaks the previous high, tighten the stop loss.
Hourly level: Break above 95742 and hold, then target 97078-97888; if it can’t go above 95742, there’s no point looking higher.
4-hour level: If it falls below 94500, watch for 93327-92312.
Resistance levels: 95742-97078-97888
Support levels: 94500-92983-91725
**Ethereum Analysis**
The second coin’s approach is more straightforward: volume breakout above 3300 on the right side for long; volume breakdown below 3272 on the right side for short, with proper stop loss controls.
If it retests 3187 and confirms support, add one long; if it falls below 3146, exit.
Hourly level: Hold above 3300, then look at 3338-3380. Watch for resistance at 3380 for short entries, with a stop loss above 3417.
Left-side orders: 3130 long, stop loss below 3100.
Resistance levels: 3300-3338-3380
Support levels: 3275-3220-3171
4-hour level: If it falls below 3274, watch for 3218-3171.