2026-01-17 06:21:28

Ethereum has repeatedly confirmed the 3290 level, and the choppy market tests people's resolve the most. Honestly, this kind of sticky market is the easiest way to deplete accounts—because once you get itchy, you want to operate, and after operating, you get slapped in the face. As the old saying goes, discipline is the most scarce resource in trading.

However, in this stalemate situation, I still lean towards a bullish view. This is not based on intuition but on who is sitting at the trading table. Recently, several signals are worth paying attention to: Standard Chartered Bank has set a long-term target of $40,000 for Ethereum, with the core logic focusing on the stablecoin and RWA (Real-World Asset Tokenization) markets, and Ethereum happens to be the key infrastructure carrier. Meanwhile, Wall Street analyst Tom Lee also stated that around $3,000 is seriously undervalued, and next year there’s a chance to see prices in the several-thousand range. These are not retail traders’ wishful thinking but institutions holding real money making long-term arrangements.

From a technical perspective, the weekly chart’s downward trendline that has been pressing for over three years is gradually being worn down. Breaking through this line doesn’t necessarily mean a sharp rise immediately, but it’s highly symbolic—the heaviest pressure and burden may have been lifted.

So my strategy remains unchanged: bullish, but never chase highs. I am bullish because I believe the overall trend has shifted, and I avoid chasing highs because I know short-term entries can easily get hit.

How exactly to operate? There are two scenarios:

**For those who already have bottom-long positions**, do one thing now—hold on. Set a stop-loss at a comfortable level so you can sleep peacefully, and don’t stare at the minute chart. The recent goal is to see if it can stabilize at 3350.

**For those still on the sidelines waiting for an opportunity**, don’t rush now. Wait for better confirmation signals or a more suitable price drop, rather than jumping in prematurely. Remember, good opportunities will come, but chasing high often comes with heavy costs.

ETH-5,27%

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-20 05:26

Feeling itchy hands, then die. This is the tuition I paid repeatedly at 3290. --- Standard Chartered forty thousand USD? But wait, these institutions sound good, retail investors still have to bear the drawdowns themselves. --- The weekly resistance line being smoothed out sounds good, but why do I feel like it still needs to be smoothed further? --- Hold on and it's done, don't tm stare at the K-line, if you stare at it, it will just drop in front of you. --- Being in cash really has its advantages, chasing highs at that moment is suicide. --- Breaking through the three-year resistance line? I'll wait until it breaks through before talking, no rush. --- The phrase "self-control is scarce" hit home, it's easiest to regret when your hands are itchy. --- Institutions are long-term bullish, so I follow along, but don't even think about it before 3350. --- No matter how good the words are, in the end, you still have to bear it yourself. I'll continue to wait for a better entry point.

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LeekCutter

· 01-20 04:07

Steadfastness is truly scarce; I've been worn down several times emotionally. Hold on and don't move. It's easy to say, but really doing it is absolutely tough. Institutions are playing a big game; retail investors, let's just wait patiently.

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GateUser-c802f0e8

· 01-18 12:14

Hold on tight, don't get itchy, this time the institutions are really布局. --- Three years of pressure lines have been磨平了, and now you want to冲? Hold on, entering short-term now just to be打脸. --- Wait, does Standard Chartered really say 40,000? Then am I foolish to be currently空仓? --- Discipline is easy to talk about but hard to do, I am that kind of person who gets itchy, and I have already操作死了 a few times. --- How can we believe what Tom Lee says? Did this guy make靠谱 predictions last year? --- If 3350 can稳住, then it's worth watching, but it's still early to say anything now. --- Institutions are eating底, retail investors are still纠结, the gap is just so大啊. --- Waiting for the跌到位置再上车, I really can't learn to追高. --- Brothers holding底部多单, I envy you, but now it's really easy to被雷 if you go in.

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AlgoAlchemist

· 01-17 06:51

Bro, this wave of analysis is clear-headed. I'm just worried that retail investors will still get itchy hands after reading and want to operate. --- The matter of Standard Chartered's $40,000 needs to wait. Listening to institutional rhetoric is just for reference, don't take it seriously. --- Discipline is really scarce. I know a bunch of people around me who got wiped out by grinding orders. --- Only after 3350 stabilizes can we dare to look at the future. It's still early to say there's a major shift in the big direction. --- I stopped trusting analysts like Tom Lee a long time ago. Every time it's thousands or tens of thousands, and what’s the result? --- Holding onto long positions is really painful. I was just watching the minute chart for a collapse. --- Waiting on the sidelines for confirmation signals is really the right move. It's a hundred times better than blindly chasing. --- The weekly trend being flattened is worth noting, but it doesn't mean an immediate takeoff. --- Institutional layout is just that—layout. We still have to survive until that day.

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ExpectationFarmer

· 01-17 06:51

Really, grinding at the 3290 level is exhausting, but the itch is the most deadly. Willpower? I have none. The figure of 40,000 from Standard Chartered sounds great, but Tom Lee dares to say that next year it will be several thousand, with these two working together, I actually start to believe a little. Wait, do you guys feel that this round of institutions is really making moves, unlike before when it was all talk? Just hold on, don’t look at the minute chart for longer survival. Brothers still waiting, don’t rush to chase, being slapped in the face happens more often than making money. The three-year resistance line is about to break, feels different now. Empty positions are really much more comfortable than chasing highs, I agree with that.

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ClassicDumpster

· 01-17 06:48

This market cycle is really testing human nature. The most intense moments are often the easiest to break. The institutions' current deployment seems to have some substance, but as always, stay bullish but don't get itchy. Holding steady is the right move; it's more important than anything else.

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fren.eth

· 01-17 06:33

Getting itchy and making moves, only to get slapped in the face afterward. I totally understand haha Institutions are betting, retail investors are playing mahjong. The gap Standard Chartered 40,000, Tom Lee and these voices indicate that real money is indeed starting to flow into the game Hold on tight and it's all good, don't stare at the K-line, it's easy to go crazy

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ETHReserveBank

· 01-17 06:31

Itching to operate is just asking for trouble. I've already paid this tuition fee long ago. *** Hold on and it's done, really stop watching the market. *** Retail investors still chase high on institutional layouts? Be smarter, everyone. *** The three-year resistance line is about to break? That’s really something different. *** Hold off on the empty position for now, few who chase high will have a good ending. *** Self-control is indeed rare; most people's accounts get destroyed here. *** Talking about $40,000 with such confidence, why do I still feel a bit hesitant? *** When Tom Lee gives a buy signal, I usually go the opposite way, but this time it’s actually quite interesting. *** Set a stop-loss and go to sleep, much better than watching the K-line collapse. *** In a stalemate situation, the most likely to blow their top are those who are optimistic but not chasing; better to stay steady.

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