Polymarket traders are getting more and more sophisticated, and this time it's about political prediction. To be honest, I don't really care whether the other side actually opened 100 accounts. The key points are: first, this kind of operation is essentially luck and probability gambling, not a legitimate trading method. Second, this approach can't form a real trading strategy at all. But on the other hand, that account making huge profits is indeed eye-catching, with operational data laid out there. More importantly, stories like this are highly attractive to ordinary users and retail investors—simple and straightforward, easy to understand, and sounds like they can make big money. This is just the kind of material that helps prediction markets break into the mainstream. So from a promotional perspective, this kind of hot topic is actually beneficial for market education.

View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 01-20 05:53
After playing for so many years, I've never seen such outrageous operations. The matter of 100 accounts should have been regulated long ago. It's called breaking the circle nicely, but honestly it's just cutting leeks, brother. What’s so good about the data? That’s just survivor bias afterward. If you don’t play the probabilities well, it’s just money going out. The bear market has taught me that these stories are just for listening; for those who follow the trend, nine and a half out of ten will lose. Making big money? Who are you fooling here? Market prediction is just a gambler’s paradise. By the way, does Polymarket really not regulate? How can we play if it keeps going like this? Forget it, I don’t touch this kind of stuff anyway, it’s too costly.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropAnxietyvip
· 01-19 10:10
This routine is really unplayable; gambling is gambling, don't pretend to have strategies. Having 100 aliases is common; the real trick is actually being able to deceive people into coming in. The data is indeed explosive, but what about the risks? No one mentions that, right? To break into the prediction market, relying on story packaging is a bit too low-level. Basically, it's just a new way to harvest retail investors; everyone has learned it. Watching the excitement, I don't get involved in this kind of thing. Hotspot marketing is just hotspot marketing; does anyone really make money? Have you studied probability? This is just the usual operation in the crypto world, nothing new.
View OriginalReply0
MetaNomadvip
· 01-17 07:49
Basically, it's gambling disguised as trading, but it really is good for scamming newbies haha This wave has indeed given free advertising to the prediction market, even though it's full of tricks 100 accounts? More than that, the key is that the account making money can really boast But ordinary people get excited when they see stories of huge profits, which is the opposite of market education Strategy? None at all, just a pure probability game
View OriginalReply0
TradFiRefugeevip
· 01-17 07:29
Basically, it's gambling disguised as trading, but it definitely attracts followers. The issue of 100 accounts feels a bit overblown. Once the profit data is released, retail investors can't resist, and that's the real secret to attracting traffic. But to be fair, Polymarket survives on these stories; without these hot topics, it would have cooled off long ago. Selling luck as a tactic, no wonder they get criticized, but this is market education. This routine is so familiar; every time they say it's education, but in reality, it's just harvesting. Data speaks for itself; isn't the most tempting thing a mix of truth and falsehood?
View OriginalReply0
LoneValidatorvip
· 01-17 07:24
Haha, this is the true picture of the prediction market—a bunch of people making quick money by relying on luck. I've seen the set of 100 accounts many times; in the end, it's all stories of retail investors being the chives. What's the use of good-looking data? Can it be copied? Most people can't learn it. Retail investors fall for this trick—simple and straightforward, it really hits the nerve. This kind of trading truly touches people's hearts. Breaking the circle relies on stories like these to sustain it. I think this market will be played out sooner or later. So-called market education is actually just harvesting traffic—don't be fooled. Behind accounts that make huge profits, there's a lot of survivor bias; no one looks at those who suffer huge losses.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin