Many people ask me how to turn around a losing position. The core is actually one sentence: only by staying alive can you have a chance to make money.

**The Survival Rule for Small Funds**

Traders with less than 100,000 yuan in capital should not expect a big market move to turn things around. The reality is, you have to get through each day. Catching one good trend each day is enough; never go all-in and gamble everything—this is the first bottom line for survival. My position size never exceeds 50%, and the remaining bullets are used for adding to positions and avoiding sharp reversals. Remember the 2024 ETH waterfall? I only used 5% of my position to short, earning 30 times in 3 hours—very satisfying, but I didn’t increase my position out of greed. People who trade more than three times a day with high-frequency methods tend to lose control; I’ve seen too many.

**The Other Side of Good News Is the Grim Reaper**

This goes against human nature but is true: major positive news is a warning to escape the top. When policies are announced or project financing is disclosed, if you don’t sell on the same day, then a gap up the next day means you should sell everything. I call this "news landing turning into a sickle," and many people get caught here.

**The Calendar Is More Important Than Technicals**

On the 10th of each month, when US CPI data is released, I reduce my positions in advance. 48 hours before Chinese New Year and 48 hours before US Thanksgiving, I completely clear my contract accounts. This isn’t superstition; it’s the bloody lesson from the FTX crash day in 2023, when over 90% of full-position traders got liquidated.

**Long-term Holding Is the Key to Lazy Profits**

My BTC dollar-cost averaging position only accounts for 3% of my account, but my annualized return beats 90% of heavy traders. How can a 5% position dominate the market? Set stop-loss 5% below support, take partial profits at 50% floating gains, and refuse greed. Light positions and guerrilla tactics are the way to survive the longest.

**The 15-Minute K-Line Strike Zone**

Short-term trading is simple and brutal: the best entry point is when the 15-minute K-line forms a KDJ golden cross. Short when RSI > 70, go long when RSI < 30—this is a contrarian harvesting technique. But the most critical point—during sideways periods with less than 2% daily volatility—I choose to be flat. Being flat isn’t cowardice; it’s top-level discipline.

**Slow Rises Like Snails, Falls Like Avalanches**

The market has a hard rule: a slow upward trend, once it pulls back, will break previous lows—this is a signal to short. Conversely, a sharp decline often rebounds but cannot surpass previous highs. In January 2025, SOL’s rapid drop—40% in one hour—was followed by an 18-minute rebound before continuing downward. I watched this rhythm and waited for the rebound to sell short, clean and decisive.

**Dignity Is More Valuable Than Money**

If the direction is wrong, cut immediately. Hesitating for a second can cost you 10% more. My rule is that 3% of the principal is the absolute red line; if losses exceed this, I stop trading for the entire day. There’s also a dynamic stop-loss method: once floating profits reach 50%, if there’s a 20% pullback, I must exit. Greedy traders always die here.

A bloody example is in 2024, when I held a long ADA position for 3 days and lost half a year’s profit. Since then, I use the 15-minute chart + KDJ combination as a "microscope." When KDJ forms a golden cross with volume breakout, I go full position; when MACD shows divergence with decreasing volume, I exit faster than a reporter.

**In Crypto, It’s About Cognition; Losses Are About Emotions**

If I lose more than 5% in a single day, I immediately leave the trading interface. Profitability doesn’t equal strength; it might just be luck. This market is increasingly lonely if you go solo. Those who can band together and support each other tend to survive longer.