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I have stopped trading for several days now, and my frequency of visiting the square has significantly decreased. I feel much more relaxed. Looking back, I used to judge everyone by my own standards, always thinking that everyone in the circle was pretty much the same, and that so-called experts weren’t that mysterious. But after opening the square, I often see positions with profits and losses fluctuating by tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of USDT. After a long time, it’s inevitable to fall into the whirlpool of FOMO and anxiety.
The core message is: everyone’s capital scale and risk tolerance are fundamentally on different levels. Others’ trading methods may not necessarily suit you. The most important thing is to learn from others’ strengths, recognize your own limitations, and find your own trading rhythm.
Over the past two years, I mainly adopted a high-frequency volatility mode—using fixed funds to pursue quick profits and losses. When lucky, 2000 USDT can grow to 5000 or even 10,000. When unlucky, I might lose 2000 to 5000 directly. The advantage of this mode is its fast pace; the obvious disadvantage is that it’s only suitable for short-term trading. It’s easy to get washed out in medium to long-term trades, so from a broader perspective, I often judge misalignments.
Now is a period of rest, not far from the Spring Festival. The most important thing is to control your hands and protect your principal. I sincerely hope that friends without positions will reduce frequent entries, refuse impulsive trades, and enjoy this holiday more than anything. The market is always there; after the holiday, there might be clearer trends and better opportunities.
I also want to change my approach. Staying up late every day is really exhausting, even when going on a self-driving trip, I can’t help but watch the market. But now I’m adjusting my state, leaving time for family and rest, because entering uncertain markets only torments myself and my wallet.
From the perspective of Bitcoin, the current position is in a high-level consolidation, with no clear signals to go long or obvious opportunities to short. It’s easy to get squeezed. In the range of 2800 to 3400, the market still seems to be accumulating strength. My intuition is that it might test higher, especially when market sentiment is most pessimistic, the opposite force is often the strongest. Of course, this is just observation; in uncertain situations, it’s better to stay put.