2026-01-17 07:29:52

If you truly believe in the future prospects and trust that the destination is the moon, then entering the market now and the opportunity cost of missed chances earlier are actually not that important. Some people are stuck on costs at low levels, while others regret not getting in at high levels. But when viewed over a sufficiently long cycle, position becomes less important. The key is whether you believe this round can break new highs—if you do, go for it. Don't get too hung up on that few percentage points of price difference.

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PerpetualLonger

· 01-20 06:25

Faith, you know, is basically the art of self-hypnosis. I'm now fully invested based on faith. --- Breaking new highs? Wake up. We're still at the bottom. Those who sell out are just retail traders with empty positions. --- Those few percentage points? Ha, that's what I thought last time. Now my account is down by 40%. --- I've believed in the lunar end theory three times, each time getting caught, but this time is really different. --- Why worry about costs? I already increased my position when bottom-fishing. This is the last chance. --- Don't listen to their nonsense. Positioning is a big deal. I lost a down payment on a house just because of my firm belief. --- Hold steady and don't move. As long as you don't sell, it's not a loss. That's the hard truth. --- Coming here with this spiel before breaking new highs? Trying to fool me into going all in again?

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DAOplomacy

· 01-20 04:13

honestly the path dependency argument here is pretty reductive. yeah if you truly believe in the thesis, timing becomes theoretically sub-optimal... but market structure and stakeholder incentive alignment matter way more than this "just believe and buy" framing suggests. historical precedent indicates these narratives usually obscure non-trivial externalities nobody's pricing in yet.

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SquidTeacher

· 01-20 03:34

That's right. Instead of stressing over a few price differences, it's better to think clearly about whether you believe this market rally can happen.

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LiquidityWitch

· 01-17 07:58

ngl the whole "cost basis anxiety" thing is just low-frequency noise... if you're actually brewing alpha on this cycle, those percentage points dissolve into the arcane yields waiting downstream. either you transmute your conviction into position or you don't. the ritual demands commitment, not spreadsheet gymnastics.

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DecentralizedElder

· 01-17 07:58

Basically, it's a mindset issue. When you have enough faith, the cost really becomes negligible.

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LuckyHashValue

· 01-17 07:57

Well said, those who are stuck on costs lack conviction. If you truly believe in the moon, don't hesitate.

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FarmToRiches

· 01-17 07:50

Honestly, I've heard this theory too many times, and the ones who actually make money are the skeptics.

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DAOdreamer

· 01-17 07:42

That's right, obsessing over the small price differences really isn't meaningful. Instead of constantly regretting after looking at the K-line, it's better to make a decision to believe or not believe.

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SchrodingerWallet

· 01-17 07:38

Nonsense, those stuck at low levels worrying about costs actually just lack confidence.

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