【Deep Analysis of Meme Coin "I'm Coming" After Sharp Rise and Fall: Technical Recovery】



This coin (hereafter referred to as "WTM") is currently priced at 0.02373, with a nearly 25% surge in 24 hours, but still down over 40% in 7 days. The chart exhibits typical features of new Meme coins: high volatility, high speculation, and some distortion in technical indicators. The current price is in the technical recovery phase following a prior sharp decline.

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Technical Analysis Highlights

Short-term (1-4 hours): Rebound and Recovery in Progress

· Price breaks above all short-term moving averages (MA5-MA30: 0.0214-0.0243), staying above MA5 (0.02436)
· MACD forms a golden cross near the zero line (DIF: 0.000767 crossing above DEA: -0.000183), with red bars turning green (0.000949), indicating strengthening short-term momentum
· RSI (58.14-60.65) enters the strong zone but not overbought, leaving room for further rebound
· Key observation: Trading volume significantly increases during the rebound (3.43 million vs. average volume), indicating new funds entering to gamble on the rebound

Long-term (Daily): Self-Rescue After a Crash

· Price remains well below the historical high of 0.05333, with a decline of over 55% from the peak, indicating a deep correction rebound
· MA30 (0.01957) provides recent strong support, with MA60 (0.01854) and MA120 (0.01964) forming a dense support zone around 0.0185-0.0196
· MACD remains in negative territory but shows initial green bars (-0.000002), indicating diminishing downward momentum
· Core judgment: This is a technical rebound after a crash, not a trend reversal

Anomaly Data Alerts:

1. YuBiBao annualized yield of 497.88%—indicates extremely high staking demand or severe liquidity shortage
2. 7-day decline shows -40.47% but today +16.95%—price volatility is abnormally intense
3. Depth of buy/sell orders is very shallow (415 buy orders, 363 sell orders)—small funds can cause large price swings

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Key Price Levels and Trading Logic

Upper Target Zone (Resistant Pressure Zone):

· First resistance: 0.0248-0.0250 (MA5 and psychological barrier). Short-term profit-taking zone.
· Core resistance: 0.0280-0.0300 (lower boundary of previous platform). Accumulation of large buy orders above 0.03.
· Reversal confirmation point: 0.0380-0.0400 (neckline of previous high). Only a break above this confirms trend reversal.

Lower Support Zone (Vital Support Line):

· Intraday support: 0.0228-0.0230 (MA10 and today's opening price). Falling below this aborts the rebound.
· Core support: 0.0195-0.0200 (dense area of MA30/MA120). Losing this zone would revert to a downtrend.
· Ultimate defense line: 0.0172-0.0185 (MA60 and previous low). Breaking below greatly increases the chance of new lows.

Market Sentiment and Psychology:

· Bullish logic: Betting on oversold rebound + YuBiBao high yields attracting funds
· Bearish logic: Previous crash trapping longs, reducing positions during rebound + Meme coin hype fading

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Trading Strategies (High-Risk Warning)

⚠️ Important Reminder: Such new Meme coins are over 10 times more volatile than BTC, suitable only for very small speculative positions, with strict stop-losses required.

Strategy A: Short-term chasing (for aggressive traders)

· Entry Conditions: Price stabilizes above 0.0238 and volume remains high
· Entry Zone: 0.0238-0.0240
· Stop-loss: 0.0225 (exit if below MA10)
· Target Zones:
· First target: 0.0248-0.0250
· Second target: 0.0260-0.0265
· Position size: no more than 1-2% of total funds

Strategy B: Rebound shorting (better risk-reward ratio)

· Ideal short zone: 0.0248-0.0255 (first resistance zone)
· Additional shorting zone: 0.0265-0.0270 (second resistance zone)
· Stop-loss: above 0.0280 (exit if surpassing key resistance)
· Target zones: 0.0220 → 0.0200 → 0.0185
· Position size: can be scaled in batches, adding short positions every 2-3% rise

Strategy C: Spot swing trading (for spot holders only)

· Re-entry zone: 0.0200-0.0195 (MA30 support zone), no more than 30% of current holdings
· Partial profit-taking: 0.0248-0.0250 (first resistance zone), reduce by 10-20%
· Full exit: 0.0280-0.0300 (strong resistance zone), consider full liquidation or minimal holdings
· Stop-loss discipline: unconditional exit if below 0.0185

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Extreme Risk Alerts

1. Zeroing risk: New Meme coins have high probability of zeroing; do not invest funds you cannot afford to lose
2. Liquidity risk: Shallow order book can cause sudden price surges or drops
3. Contract risk: Perpetual contract funding rates may be abnormal, making long/short costs very high
4. Information risk: Project team may suddenly sell off or change rules, reducing technical analysis effectiveness
5. Psychological risk: High volatility easily triggers "FOMO chasing" and "panic selling," requiring strict self-discipline

(Current market conditions are highly speculative; ordinary investors are advised to stay away. If participating, follow the principles of "extremely small positions, strict stop-loss, quick entry and exit." The members' area has updated a dedicated risk control template for such highly volatile tokens.)#周末行情分析
BTC-0,39%
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