The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut, in my view, is no longer just a 25 basis point adjustment but a signal that risk appetite has been ignited. Rather than being a panacea for the market, it is more like a flourish on the backdrop of a soft economic landing. Capital is rapidly withdrawing from low-yield assets like US Treasuries and shifting into risk assets—this rally has only just begun.



History provides clear reference. The 6 to 12 months after each rate cut are often the true main upward wave. Currently, CME FedWatch shows an 85% probability of a rate cut in December, and the median interest rate by the end of 2026 is also expected to be further lowered. The market has already interpreted Powell's cautious remarks as a clear dovish signal, and risk assets are poised to surge.

In the short term, I expect Bitcoin to surge to the 90K-110K range, Ethereum to reach 3.5K-4.2K, and high-beta coins like Solana to experience rotation opportunities. The underlying logic of this bull market has changed; it is no longer the disorderly leverage stacking of 2021 but a new pattern driven by institutional funds and real applications. Targets like BTC hitting $200,000 and ETH breaking through $10,000 are shifting from fantasies to foreseeable realities. Of course, retracements and volatility during the process are inevitable, but the overall direction is clear.
BTC6,38%
ETH7,33%
SOL5,7%
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SoliditySlayervip
· 01-19 20:24
Powell's recent move is really a disguised liquidity injection; the withdrawal of funds from US Treasuries and flow into risk assets has become a certainty. Historical patterns are clear: the real celebration will come 6-12 months later.
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QuorumVotervip
· 01-17 11:05
Powell's move is really about flooding the market; funds have to find a place to go. Who wants US Treasury yields that low? However, the target of $200,000 BTC still seems too optimistic. History always repeats itself, but never exactly the same.
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MidnightTradervip
· 01-17 10:56
Powell is definitely sending signals this time, the capital flow is already very clear, we're just waiting for that cut to come down in December.
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MetaverseLandlordvip
· 01-17 10:56
Powell's move is indeed giving institutions the green light, with funds rushing into risk assets.
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DEXRobinHoodvip
· 01-17 10:53
Hmm, I quite agree with this logic, but I need to take another look at the BTC worth 200,000 USD...
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