1. Technical Indicator Analysis

1. 4-Hour Level: Early Sign of Trend Reversal
- From the 4-hour chart, ETH is currently oscillating within the $3,250 - $3,320 range.
- The MACD indicator shows the red histogram (selling momentum) has significantly shortened, approaching the zero line, which usually indicates downward pressure has exhausted and is in the “bottoming” phase.
- Bollinger Bands: Price is close to the middle band. Due to decreased volatility over the weekend, Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting a small-scale “breakout rebound” may occur.

2. 1-Hour Level: Oversold Correction Completed
- The KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross at low levels and is expanding upward.
- Trading volume has noticeably decreased, indicating selling pressure has eased. This is a typical “retail game” period, easily driven higher by small funds.

2. Capital and Exchange Rate Analysis
1. ETH/BTC Exchange Rate (0.0345)
- The current rate is close to the historical support level since the beginning of 2026. Historical experience shows that when BTC stabilizes around $95,000, funds often flow from BTC to ETH to chase “catch-up” gains.

2. Capital Flow Analysis:
- Over the weekend, US stocks and ETFs are closed, and institutional forces have temporarily retreated. Currently, the market mainly involves contract positions harvesting each other.
- Liquidation map hints: Many stop-loss orders for shorts have accumulated in the $3,350 - $3,380 range, so the market is likely to have an upward “sweep stop-loss” action.

3. Weekend Strategy: Small Stop-Loss Play
The core idea of this strategy is “Enter on support retest, exit if breaking previous low.”

- Operation direction: Buy on dips
- Entry range: $3,275 - $3,290 (near current price or staggered entries)
- Stop-loss: $3,240 (strictly guarded)
- Reason: This is yesterday’s retest low. If broken, the 4-hour trend deteriorates, and an exit is necessary.
- Take-profit targets:
- First target: $3,345 (4-hour Bollinger middle band)
- Second target: $3,385 (previous high resistance zone)
- Risk-reward ratio approximately 1:2.5 (Risk $45, Reward $110)