BTC has recently been discussed publicly, with a leading exchange founder sharing a unique perspective on the 2026 crypto market. He thanked the US government for sending positive signals and then made a significant prediction: 2026 could become the most divisive year in crypto history.

Why say that? The logic is actually quite clear. From past experience, the Bitcoin market follows a clear pattern—a full cycle every four years. During halving events, prices tend to surge, and afterward, the market cools down. Many seasoned players become cautious during this phase. Following this pattern, 2026 should be a period of risk aversion and market cooling.

But this time, the situation might be different. The current macro environment is quietly changing—US attitudes toward the crypto industry are noticeably more friendly, regulatory approaches are becoming clearer, and policies are signaling support for innovation and financial stability. Against this backdrop, the likelihood of liquidity easing and institutional funds rushing in is increasing.

This is the key point: can the traditional four-year cycle be broken by loose policies and ample liquidity? If so, Bitcoin and the entire crypto market might enter a longer-term upward phase—what some analysts call a "super cycle."

In simple terms, 2026 stands at a crossroads. Will the historical pattern repeat itself, or will policies and capital redefine the market rhythm? There is no definitive answer to this question, and it is precisely this uncertainty that causes investors worldwide to have diverse opinions about next year’s trend.