2026-01-17 15:29:08

The pump-and-dump tactics of altcoins are actually quite fixed, with the operation cycle of strong whales generally sticking to about a month. Altcoins like RIVER, FHE, and PIPPIN, which have performed well, all follow this pattern.

Over the years, as long as I see promising altcoins, I always record them and share them in internal groups. However, the final outcomes are often twofold: either we buy at the bottom and hold for gains, or we sell halfway through. That's where the difference lies.

Take RIVER as an example. I started positioning at 3.0, and by the time it reached 3.3, a complete upward cycle had basically ended. Who could have predicted it would continue to pump afterward? Honestly, if you play altcoins using value investing theories, you'll end up with a bunch of coins that have no volatility, and you won't make any money. The game rules of altcoins are completely different from those of value stocks.

FHE-8,88%

PIPPIN-12,63%

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CountdownToBroke

· 01-20 13:51

Haha, you're right. I've also verified the one-month cycle many times.

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HorizonHunter

· 01-17 15:58

The one-month cycle sounds comfortable, but who can really hit the mark with that RIVER wave? Luck plays too big a role.

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 01-17 15:53

A one-month cycle makes sense, but I really didn't catch the bottom of that RIVER wave, it's so frustrating.

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PoolJumper

· 01-17 15:47

You're not wrong, but you need to grasp the rhythm; otherwise, you'll just be the bagholder.

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BrokenDAO

· 01-17 15:44

Basically, it's a psychological game of the gambling house. Whoever can accurately hit their stop-loss point wins. I was also watching that RIVER move; at 3.3, it should have been sold, but the greedy ones got trapped. The issue isn't whether the cycle can be predicted, but that this incentive mechanism itself is inherently against human nature... It happens every time, and some people just can't resist the temptation.

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GasOptimizer

· 01-17 15:39

One-month cycle? Can I see the data? On my side, the statistics show that RIVER went from 3.0 to 3.3 in just 17 days. The fluctuations of FHE are even more outrageous. It seems that the pump-and-dump timing model isn't that fixed.

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