2026-01-17 16:25:59

2025 has become the first year in Bitcoin history to experience a red candle halving, breaking the market's long-standing 4-year cycle pattern. From the data, the traditional halving→bull market cycle model is facing new variables. Does this mean the classic 4-year cycle theory needs to be updated? The once widely accepted cycle law now seems to be invalid. The market is evolving, and the rules are being rewritten.

BTC-6,08%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

LightningClicker

· 01-20 16:21

If the cycle is broken, so be it. Anyway, I’ve never made money following the usual rules.

View OriginalReply0

RugDocDetective

· 01-20 11:22

Whoa, the red棒 halving? Now the old players in the crypto world have to rewrite the script.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-17 16:54

Red棒减半？ Now the battlefield rules have really changed, the old routines are no longer effective. Alright, the cycle theory is dead here, we have to learn to live in chaos. When the pattern fails, it means the supply lines are cut, and you should tighten your positions. This round, not playing by the rules, actually makes the winners who survive. The once 4-year cycle has become worthless, and the new game rules are not yet written. Breaking the pattern actually offers more opportunities, the key is not to get caught. Market psychology has changed, and the rules of the game table must change accordingly. The real test is who can maintain discipline in disorder, not who guessed the right direction.

View OriginalReply0

SolidityJester

· 01-17 16:53

Red棒 halving? Now the cycle theory is completely broken, haha

View OriginalReply0

CryptoHistoryClass

· 01-17 16:51

lmao "this time is different" energy is OFF THE CHARTS rn. checked the charts from 2016 halving cycle... the pattern recognition people r gonna have a field day with this one. history doesn't repeat but it sure does rhyme, and this red candle? that's looking like a familiar verse ngl

Reply0

MidnightTrader