2026-01-17 16:32:12

The market will punish those who lack reverence for it — this is the most profound lesson in trading. I won't make blind predictions, but based on past trend patterns, we can observe the recent daily chart rhythm.

From a technical perspective, the key target zone for this rebound is already quite clear. Once it reaches that level, it is likely to face resistance. At that point, the probability of continuing to decline is high.

Currently, there is an advantage in positioning for medium- to long-term short positions. The trend logic of BTC and ETH is basically the same, so it is worth paying close attention to the performance within this range. Specific judgments will be elaborated later, and any deviations should not be taken too seriously.

BTC7,49%

ETH9,52%

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PretendingToReadDocs

· 01-20 14:42

The market really teaches people how to behave, and that's how I was taught haha

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BearMarketGardener

· 01-20 07:02

Starting to talk about short positions again. Last time I heard you say this, it still rebounded... --- The market really punishes, I was punished a couple of days ago, went all-in on a short position. --- This key range thing has been discussed for a long time, but in the end, it still went off course. --- Are BTC and ETH logic the same? They don’t seem quite the same to me, feels like I’m being set up again. --- Medium to long-term short-term layout sounds comfortable, but my wallet is a bit sore. --- I don’t make blind predictions, but I’ve been accurate every time. This person has some skills. --- Why am I getting more and more confused about the technicals? Maybe I should wait for a pullback. --- It’s another resistance level, and the probability is quite high. It’s getting a bit annoying to listen to, bro.

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CodeZeroBasis

· 01-19 00:56

The market is indeed ruthless, and that's true. But this kind of "not making blind predictions" followed by immediately providing a direction... I really laughed.

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BuyHighSellLow

· 01-18 03:08

The short position setup is a good timing, but don't forget the market loves to violently hit the shorts back. --- Same old rhetoric, key resistance zones have high pressure, and the downside probability is high. How many times have we heard this and still see rebounds? --- Respect for the market sounds nice, but it's actually just fear of being liquidated haha. --- BTC and ETH have the same logic? Then why are their moves still out of sync this wave? Didn't think through the details. --- Medium to long-term short? Bro, you said the same last time, and look what happened. --- This rebound isn't that simple; it feels like there's more behind the scenes. --- "Even if there's a deviation, don't take it seriously" that line made me laugh. Then why say so much? --- Observing the daily rhythm is fine, but the zone prediction always tends to go wrong. --- It looks very rational, but I haven't seen a stop-loss plan.

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ForkMonger

· 01-17 17:02

nah, the "market punishes arrogance" bit is ironic coming from someone dead certain about resistance levels... protocol governance could learn something from actual price discovery tbh. short positioning rn? sure, if ur comfortable watching liquidity layers get obliterated at the wrong fork timing.

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ShibaOnTheRun

· 01-17 17:02

Market lessons are so ruthless; respecting them is the way to survive longer. --- Here we go again with the bearish talk. Will it really drop this time or just reverse again? --- The more you talk about key ranges, the less accurate it becomes. I’ll bet on the opposite direction and try. --- "Don’t take it seriously" haha, the implication is that it might all be wrong. --- Shorting? I see the rebound quite strongly, better to be cautious. --- BTC and ETH are consistent, right? Then just watch both and that’s it. --- When will the basis for this judgment be explained? So slow and dragging. --- Market punishment doesn’t just target those who are not respectful; it also punishes gamblers like me. --- Touching the pressure zone means it will definitely fall? I don’t believe it, but I also dare not bet. --- It sounds good to say it’s still an observation period, but it hasn’t given any specific signals. --- Long-term bearish sounds comfortable, but in the short term, I really don’t dare to get in.

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LightningLady

· 01-17 16:59

The market really doesn't show mercy, repeatedly taking advantage of retail investors --- With both resistance levels and bearish signals, I wonder if this time will reverse again --- That's right, respecting the market is the key to longevity, more effective than any indicator --- Waiting to see how this range breaks, if BTC and ETH drop simultaneously, it will be interesting --- Medium to long-term bearish outlook sounds good, but I'm worried it might just be a false breakout again, haha --- Not making reckless predictions is, in my opinion, a sign of integrity; most people are still blindly shouting --- Where exactly are the key levels? Can you reveal a bit? --- Every time someone claims there's an advantage, in the end, it's the followers who lose money --- Observing the rhythm sounds simple, but in real trading, emotions influence everything—that's the real challenge --- Don't take deviations too seriously; this statement is quite cautious, haha

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FarmHopper

· 01-17 16:57

The market just loves to teach people how to be human, really... If this rebound truly hits that level, I’ll be bearish; otherwise, what can I say --- Honestly, the easiest thing when looking at the chart is to get overconfident, then the market slaps you back --- Short position setup? I just want to see if this time is right. If there's a real deviation, we’ll just laugh it off --- They always say BTC and ETH move in sync, but only when the reversal happens do you realize who’s making money and who’s losing --- I've heard countless times to respect the market, but how many can really take action when the time comes? --- That key zone—is it really clear, or is it just armchair analysis after the fact? --- Daily chart analysis looks fine, but as for medium to long-term bearishness, let’s wait and see first --- Everyone’s right, but I’m just afraid it’ll turn out to be another story, haha --- Deviations shouldn’t be taken seriously... That’s what reassures me; after all, we can’t run away anyway

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BlockchainBouncer

· 01-17 16:39

The market really teaches people how to behave; I've seen too many who are overly confident and end up getting crushed. The words "reverence" are not wrong, but are the current short sellers really just gambling out of spite now?

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