Recently observing DUSK's price movement, the on-chain data behind it is quite interesting. The price increase is not only driven by positive fundamentals but also by significant changes in capital flow and holding structures. I will break down several key dimensions.



**Whale Activity on Derivatives Platforms**

Currently, whales hold positions worth approximately $45.07 billion on a leading derivatives platform, with a long-short ratio of 0.87, slightly leaning towards the short side. Interestingly, the distribution of holdings shows a clear polarization—long-term holders continue to accumulate at low levels, while new entrants are entering at high levels. What does this imply? If short-term technical pressure appears, it could trigger a short squeeze, further pushing up the price.

**Exchange Capital Flow Signals**

During the recent price rally, the open interest increased by 644.37% within 24 hours. This is not a false figure—real capital is flowing in rapidly, and buy orders are quite substantial. Generally, net inflow on exchanges leads price momentum. If we see a large influx of deposits into exchanges later, selling pressure might follow, so watch for this turning point.

**Staking Supply Lock-in Effect**

The staking rate on DuskDS mainnet has exceeded 36%, and the TVL of Sozu, this liquid staking product, has reached tens of millions of dollars, with an APR close to 28%. What does a high staking rate mean? Simply put, this portion of supply is locked, reducing the circulating supply in the market, which naturally decreases selling pressure. The high yield attractiveness of liquid staking products further enhances holders' willingness to lock in their assets.
DUSK2,44%
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MEVHunterBearishvip
· 01-20 02:45
45.07 billion in holdings with a 0.87 long-short ratio. This rhythm is quite interesting; just waiting for the short squeeze to play out.
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StablecoinArbitrageurvip
· 01-17 22:43
actually hold up... the 0.87 short bias with 450.7B open interest doesn't really concern me here. what's got me running backtests is that 36% staking rate paired with 28% APR on Sozu—that's just *chef's kiss* for locked supply dynamics. the correlation coefficient between staking depth and reduced sell pressure historically runs 0.78+ in my models.
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AltcoinMarathonervip
· 01-17 17:55
ngl, that 36% staking rate is basically the marathon runner's water station — supply's locked, pressure's off. just like mile 20, this is where the real accumulation thesis plays out. institutional flows don't lie.
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SerumSqueezervip
· 01-17 17:55
Whoa, a 644% increase? We need to keep a close eye on this data; it feels like a reversal signal is already flashing a red light.
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SilentObservervip
· 01-17 17:52
This data looks great, but I'm still a bit worried... New retail investors chasing in at high levels, I've seen this trick too many times, just waiting to get cut.
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PaperHandsCriminalvip
· 01-17 17:49
$45.07 billion in holdings, I can't even afford the change haha, the whales are really playing chess, and we're still studying the game plan.
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FastLeavervip
· 01-17 17:41
Wait a minute, long-term holders accumulating at low levels, new retail investors taking over at high levels... I've seen this script before. Short squeeze sounds good, but when the time comes, isn't it just another routine to trap retail investors?
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