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Recently observing DUSK's price movement, the on-chain data behind it is quite interesting. The price increase is not only driven by positive fundamentals but also by significant changes in capital flow and holding structures. I will break down several key dimensions.
**Whale Activity on Derivatives Platforms**
Currently, whales hold positions worth approximately $45.07 billion on a leading derivatives platform, with a long-short ratio of 0.87, slightly leaning towards the short side. Interestingly, the distribution of holdings shows a clear polarization—long-term holders continue to accumulate at low levels, while new entrants are entering at high levels. What does this imply? If short-term technical pressure appears, it could trigger a short squeeze, further pushing up the price.
**Exchange Capital Flow Signals**
During the recent price rally, the open interest increased by 644.37% within 24 hours. This is not a false figure—real capital is flowing in rapidly, and buy orders are quite substantial. Generally, net inflow on exchanges leads price momentum. If we see a large influx of deposits into exchanges later, selling pressure might follow, so watch for this turning point.
**Staking Supply Lock-in Effect**
The staking rate on DuskDS mainnet has exceeded 36%, and the TVL of Sozu, this liquid staking product, has reached tens of millions of dollars, with an APR close to 28%. What does a high staking rate mean? Simply put, this portion of supply is locked, reducing the circulating supply in the market, which naturally decreases selling pressure. The high yield attractiveness of liquid staking products further enhances holders' willingness to lock in their assets.